Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal das Laranjeiras (Paredes)


	Paredes		Sanjoanense

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.85	5.5
	1.52	3.97	5.97
	1.51	4.18	5.89	Watch
	1.5	3.6	5.5
	1.58	3.79	5.79
	1.47	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)	3.87 ↑ (3.76)	5.78 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
60.5%

Draw
23.7%

Sanjoanense
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Paredes - Sanjoanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Matos F. (G) 99. Balelo 3. Duarte D. P. 14. Erik 44. Ferreira P. (C) 23. Macedo Z. 7. Miguel 4. Pereira Pacheco R. F. 26. Santos Outeiro D. 21. Veiga D. 84. Yuk J.	1. Monteiro J. (G) 20. Andrezinho 25. Couto J. 16. Gomes V. 27. John K. 10. Kiko Felix 24. Maio F. 2. Martins J. 13. Pinheiro Edu (C) 6. Serra A. 11. Shodipo O.
Substitutes
8. Carvalho D. 9. Fonseca R. 16. Goncalves T. (G) 20. Lemos I. M. 6. Matheus Brito 5. Moreira Nuno 10. Soares A. 29. Vasco Rocha 11. Zacarias V.	19. Cezar F. 36. Duarte A. (G) 21. Gomes R. 3. Nando 8. Podstawski T. 7. Rocha T. 33. Sa G. 5. Santos R. 12. Vitinha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Balelo ⚽, Macedo Z. (A),
31', Ferreira P. 🟨,
34', Erik 🟨,
34', Gomes V. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Erik ⚽, Miguel (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Andrezinho ↓, Podstawski T. ↑,
46', Kiko Felix ↓, Vitinha ↑,
52', John K. 🟨,
57', Shodipo O. ↓, Cezar F. ↑,
62', Veiga D. ↓, Vasco Rocha ↑,
62', Miguel ↓, Zacarias V. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Serra A. ⚽,
75', Santos Outeiro D. 🟨,
77', Gomes V. ↓, Santos R. ↑,
78', Erik ↓, Soares A. ↑,
78', Balelo ↓, Fonseca R. ↑,
80', Yuk J. 🟨,
80', Yuk J. ↓, Matheus Brito ↑,
82', Matos F. 🟨,
85', Cezar F. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Santos R. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Fonseca R. ⚽,

Preview

Paredes is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sanjoanense is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Paredes is considered a favorite.

We predict that Paredes will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paredes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Paredes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
14.02.26	Marco 09 - Paredes	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	São João de Ver - Paredes	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Paredes - Amarante	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Marco 09 - Paredes	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	Paredes - Sanjoanense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTWW
- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
14.02.26	Sanjoanense - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Sanjoanense - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Varzim - Sanjoanense	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sanjoanense - Trofense	2:4 ✺
04.01.26	Paredes - Sanjoanense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
04.01.26	Paredes - Sanjoanense	3:0
28.09.25	Sanjoanense - Paredes	2:2
18.02.23	Sanjoanense - Paredes	1:1
04.11.22	Paredes - Sanjoanense	3:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.02.19	Sanjoanense - Paredes	1:0

Paredes - Sanjoanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide