Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 10

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Olympique de Sousse (Sousse)

Referee: Nguiene J. P. (Con)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
China	ZhiBo8
India	FanCode, FanCode
Malawi	MBC
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	São Tomé and Príncipe		Malawi

	1	X	2
	23	6.5	1.17	Watch
	20	6.9	1.13
	16.93	7.22	1.15
	19.39	5.89	1.18	Watch
				Watch
	18.5	6.32	1.19	Watch
	10	5.9	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	17.97 ↑ (13)	6.46 ↑ (5.83)	1.18 ↓ (1.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Tomé and Príncipe
5.2%

Draw
14.6%

Malawi
80.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.2%

16%

76.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Tomé and Príncipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Malawi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

São Tomé and Príncipe - Malawi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. São Tomé will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Malawi will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malawi: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São Tomé (votes: 1 - 50%). Malawi (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Malawi (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. São Tomé (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Malawi (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonfim Y. (G) 10. Braganca N. Chernomorets 1919 19. Cardoso R. KPV Kokkola 22. Carvalho G. Hastings 3. D'Almeida G. 5. Fernandes R. Real SC 14. Fernandes R. Guarda FC 11. Lumungo R. Pacos Ferreira 8. Neves J. (C) Oriental 23. Vava Pequeno Industria 20. Vilhete M. Hemel Hempstead	1. Chikooka G. (G) Silver Strikers 6. Aaron L. Muaither SC 38. Adepoju B. Big Bullets 5. Chembezi D. Al-Qassim 10. Kaonga C. Zanaco 2. Lameck M. Silver Strikers 12. Lungu A. Ekhaya 9. Mbulu R. UD Songo 8. Njaliwa L. Costa do Sol 3. Petro C. FC Botosani 17. Singo Y. Big Bullets
Substitutes
17. Andrade Male S. A. Estrela da Amadora 16. Dola 6. Estevao A. 18. Lopez W. Sporting Lisbon 12. Mendes F. (G) 21. Monteiro P. 13. Neves A. Bansko 7. Paulo M. 9. Reis Tavares Semedo K. Cinfaes 4. Vaz dos Ramos A. S. Real SC 15. Waldimison	13. Blessings S. Mighty Wanderers FC 15. Chirwa G. Ngezi Platinum 18. Malango M. Monterey Bay 7. Mpinganjira W. Mighty Wanderers FC 19. Nkhoma L. Big Bullets 22. Nyasulu N. Platinum 20. Nyirenda E. Mighty Wanderers FC 4. Paipi M. Silver Strikers 21. Saizi R. Zanaco 16. Thole W. (G) 23. Waka J. (G)
Coaches
Monsanto R.	Pasuwa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Vava Pequeno 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lameck M. ↓, Chirwa G. ↑,
57', Cardoso R. ↓, Andrade Male S. A. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Lumungo R. (Pen),
67', Kaonga C. ↓, Blessings S. ↑,
67', Njaliwa L. ↓, Nkhoma L. ↑,
67', Mbulu R. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
74', Fernandes R. ↓, Chidinho ↑,
74', Vilhete M. ↓, Neves A. ↑,
77', Singo Y. ↓, Saizi R. ↑,
88', Aaron L. 🟨,
88', Monsanto R. 🟥,
90+5', Neves J. ↓, Waldimison ↑,
90+5', Carvalho G. ↓, Dola ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Stade Olympique de Sousse.

São Tomé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Malawi is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Tomé won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Tomé and Príncipe
FIFA World Cup
10.10.25	São Tomé and Príncipe - Tunisia	0:6 ✺
09.09.25	Namibia - São Tomé and Príncipe	3:0 ✺
04.09.25	São Tomé and Príncipe - Equatorial Guinea	2:3 ✺
24.03.25	Liberia - São Tomé and Príncipe	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Equatorial Guinea - São Tomé and Príncipe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Malawi
FIFA World Cup
09.10.25	Malawi - Equatorial Guinea	Malawi awarded ✺
08.09.25	Malawi - Liberia	2:2 ✺
05.09.25	Namibia - Malawi	1:2 ✺
COSAFA Cup
10.06.25	Malawi - Angola	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	Namibia - Malawi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 ?TWLT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
06.06.24	Malawi - São Tomé and Príncipe	3:1

São Tomé and Príncipe - Malawi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide