Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 12

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Sóller		Mercadal

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.83
	3.53	3.11	1.93
	3.53	3.11	1.93
	3.68	3.32	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (4.28)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	1.9 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sóller
24.9%

Draw
27.9%

Mercadal
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26.8%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

26.1%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sóller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sóller than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mercadal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Sóller is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mercadal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sóller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mercadal is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sóller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sóller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Sóller
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
18.11.23	Felanitx - Sóller	2:2 ✺
12.11.23	Sóller - Platges de Calvià	1:5 ✺
04.11.23	Llosetense - Sóller	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Sóller - Alcúdia	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Sóller	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLLWL
- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
18.11.23	Mercadal - Santanyí	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Manacor - Mercadal	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Portmany - Mercadal	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Mercadal - Mallorca B	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Mercadal - Constancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
14.01.23	Sóller - Mercadal	1:2
10.09.22	Mercadal - Sóller	3:0
23.04.22	Mercadal - Sóller	5:1
26.12.21	Sóller - Mercadal	1:2
07.04.19	Sóller - Mercadal	2:1

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