Match Info

Superliga - Championship Group - Round 23

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Haderslev Football Stadium (Haderslev)

Referee: Putros S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X


	SønderjyskE		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.86	Watch
	3.65	3.55	1.98
	3.86	3.71	2.02
	3.53	3.63	2.03	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.91
	3.87	3.57	1.94	Watch
	3.35	3.95	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.35)	3.62 ↓ (3.95)	1.96 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SønderjyskE
25.7%

Draw
26.1%

AGF Aarhus
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

24%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

23.9%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SønderjyskE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. SønderjyskE will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Aarhus will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. SønderjyskE (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aarhus (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Bundgaard M. (G) 3. Waever S. 5. Jensen M. 12. Soulas M. 4. Gretarsson D. L. 19. Kristensen P. 6. Vinderslev R. (C) 15. Qamili L. 31. Cherif M. 26. Sommer T. 9. Hoppe M.	1. Hansen J. (G) 2. Beijmo F. 3. Dalsgaard H. 19. Kahl E. 29. Carstensen R. 4. Knudsen M. 17. Yakob K. 11. Links G. 31. Bech T. 9. Mortensen P. (C) 10. Arnstad K.
Substitutes
23. Duru G. 7. Emini S. 1. Flo N. (G) 34. Hjort- Pedersen E. 24. Hyseni O. 11. Lyng A. 22. Oggesen A. 28. Pedersen A. 29. Rrahmani A.	39. Emmery F. 21. Hedenstad M. (G) 8. Jorgensen S. 20. Kristjansson T. 14. Molgaard T. 6. Poulsen N. 13. Serra J. 27. Tchamche S. 5. Tingager F.
Coaches
Norgaard T.	Poulsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Knudsen M. 🟨,
39', Beijmo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Cherif M. 🟨,
53', Vinderslev R. 🟨,
57', Cherif M. ↓, Lyng A. ↑,
65', Yakob K. ↓, Poulsen N. ↑,
65', Mortensen P. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Bech T. ⚽,
75', Kahl E. ↓, Tingager F. ↑,
77', Vinderslev R. ↓, Oggesen A. ↑,
77', Waever S. ↓, Emini S. ↑,
85', Hoppe M. ↓, Hyseni O. ↑,
89', Poulsen N. 🟨,
90', Carstensen R. ↓, Molgaard T. ↑,
90', Bech T. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Jensen M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SønderjyskE won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

SønderjyskE may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aarhus will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in SønderjyskE: Sigurgeirsson R. (Injury)

There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J. (Knee Injury) Poulsen N. (Inactive) Solbakken M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SønderjyskE won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, SønderjyskE won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Aarhus: 0.52% Sonderjyske: 0.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Aarhus	9	0	5	4	11:17	-6	5
12	Sonderjyske	9	1	2	6	12:21	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SønderjyskE
Danish Superliga
01.03.26	SønderjyskE - OB Odense	1:0 ✺
23.02.26	Brøndby - SønderjyskE	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	SønderjyskE - Silkeborg IF	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Nordsjælland - SønderjyskE	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Viktoria Plzeň - SønderjyskE	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLL
- AGF Aarhus
Danish Landspokal Cup
08.03.26	Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
01.03.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - AGF Aarhus	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	AGF Aarhus - Viborg	5:2 ✺
15.02.26	Fredericia - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
12.02.26	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
09.11.25	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	2:3
Danish Landspokal Cup
29.10.25	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	2:1
Danish Superliga
20.07.25	SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus	1:1
16.02.25	SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus	1:4
02.08.24	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	4:0
Club Friendly
14.01.23	SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus	1:5
08.07.22	SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus	2:1

Upcoming Matches