Match Info

I Liqa - Round 26

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: ASCO Arena (Baku)


	Səbail		Shahdag Qusar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.75	5.35	Watch
	1.5	3.95	5.21
	1.54	3.82	5.38	Watch
	1.5	3.6	5.5
	1.47	3.92	6.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)	3.81 ↓ (3.9)	5.49 ↑ (5.15)

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Səbail
59.9%

Draw
23.7%

Shahdag Qusar
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

23.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

23.9%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Shahdag Qusar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahdag Qusar than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Səbail - Shahdag Qusar Predictions

Users Predictions: Səbail will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Səbail is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shahdag is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Səbail is the team to beat.

We predict that Səbail will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Səbail won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Səbail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sahdag Qusar	4	4	0	0	13:1	12	12
3	Sabail	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan First Division
06.05.26	Zagatala - Səbail	0:3 ✺
30.04.26	Səbail - Cəbrayıl	6:0 ✺
23.04.26	Difai Ağsu - Səbail	0:4 ✺
16.04.26	Səbail - Shimal	4:0 ✺
09.04.26	Şəfa - Səbail	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWL
- Shahdag Qusar
Azerbaijan First Division
05.05.26	Shahdag Qusar - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	MOIK Baku - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Zagatala - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Shahdag Qusar - Cəbrayıl	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Difai Ağsu - Shahdag Qusar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
18.12.25	Shahdag Qusar - Səbail	2:2
24.09.25	Səbail - Shahdag Qusar	2:0

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