Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil) 🌤️ ...


	9 de Octubre		SD Aucas

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.6
	2.6	3	2.5
	2.8	3.2	2.33
	2.65	3.1	2.5
	2.87	3.3	2.55
	2.75	2.88	2.55
	2.68	3.32	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.87)	3.17 ↓ (3.55)	2.51 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
34%

Draw
29.2%

SD Aucas
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.3%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

26.2%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

9 de Octubre - SD Aucas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Aucas will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aucas: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Play Offs: Final)).

Recent matches 9 de Octubre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aucas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

9 de Octubre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches 9 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams 9 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.08.22	Gualaceo - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
04.08.22	9 de Octubre - SD Aucas	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.08.22	9 de Octubre - Orense	0:0 ✺
24.07.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - 9 de Octubre	2:2 ✺
17.07.22	Mushuc Runa - 9 de Octubre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWTTL
- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.08.22	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
04.08.22	9 de Octubre - SD Aucas	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.07.22	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
26.07.22	Emelec - SD Aucas	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.07.22	SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Copa
04.08.22	9 de Octubre - SD Aucas	2:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.04.22	SD Aucas - 9 de Octubre	1:1
28.08.21	SD Aucas - 9 de Octubre	1:1
04.04.21	9 de Octubre - SD Aucas	1:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.11.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas	✺

9 de Octubre - SD Aucas