The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
9 de Octubre 34%
Draw 29.2%
SD Aucas 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
26.3%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
26.2%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
9 de Octubre - SD Aucas Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Aucas will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aucas: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Play Offs: Final)).
Recent matches 9 de Octubre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aucas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
9 de Octubre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches 9 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
Including matches at home between the teams 9 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Watch
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