Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 30

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Manta		SD Aucas

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.20	2.20	Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.15
	3.60	3.05	2.12	Watch
	3.26	3.23	2.34
	3.42	3.16	2.2	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.30
	3.20	3.20	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.10	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.8)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	2.22 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manta
28.6%

Draw
29.5%

SD Aucas
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

28.7%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.4%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Aucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manta - SD Aucas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chavez W. (C) 14. Mina J. 25. Monaga J. 24. Moscarelli O. 31. Mina G. 27. Troya J. 6. Jimenez J. 5. Ramirez B. 55. Verges J. 28. Ledesma A. 19. Alman J.	1. Chaves I. (G) 16. Gustavino L. 4. Burdisso M. 2. Morales S. 28. Quinonez R. 14. Tapiero S. (C) 17. Zambrano C. 21. Guzman P. 5. Serpa T. 7. Andrade J. M. 9. Monti R.
Substitutes
17. Angulo J. 11. Asagidigbi F. 9. Blanco J. 10. Burbano R. 57. Burbano S. 33. Castillo A. 7. Chala W. 29. Hurtado M. 99. Pico E. (G) 52. Rialpe J. 8. Valencia M. 12. Zambrano F. (G)	29. Arroyo L. 11. Bolanos R. 31. Carabali B. 18. Mena A. 30. Oyola B. 13. Piedra H. (G) 10. Preciado E. 6. Spina A. L. 57. Vera M.
Coaches
Duarte R.	Araujo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+5', Jimenez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Zambrano C. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
63', Gustavino L. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,
63', Andrade J. M. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
63', Monaga J. ↓, Asagidigbi F. ↑,
71', Verges J. ↓, Burbano R. ↑,
75', Guzman P. ↓, Oyola B. ↑,
75', Monti R. ↓, Bolanos R. ↑,
75', Alman J. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
75', Ledesma A. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
78', Serpa T. 🟨,
90+4', Mina J. 🟨,

Preview

Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )

Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0.

Recent form of Manta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Aucas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aucas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aucas	31	14	8	9	34:30	4	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.09.26	Emelec - Manta	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Deportivo Macará - Manta	4:3 ✺
29.08.26	Manta - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Manta	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	Manta - Leones del Norte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLL
- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.09.26	SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
03.09.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	SD Aucas - Libertad Loja	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
26.08.26	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.08.26	Delfín - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.05.26	SD Aucas - Manta	3:1
15.09.25	Manta - SD Aucas	1:1
17.05.25	SD Aucas - Manta	1:1
22.08.21	SD Aucas - Manta	3:0
21.03.21	Manta - SD Aucas	1:1

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