Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	SD Logroñés		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.2	1.73
	4.75	3.1	1.7
	4.75	3.2	1.8
	4.88	3.35	1.78
	4.88	3.35	1.78
	5.15	3.16	1.76
	4.7	3.2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.53)	3.22 ↑ (2.95)	1.76 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
19%

Draw
28.6%

Leonesa
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

30.9%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

30.3%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SD Logroñés's form might have worsened.

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Logroñés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SD Logroñés - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marti O. (G) 14. Cova A. 4. Murua J. 16. Ezkurdia I. 3. Paredes J. 7. Fernandez O. 22. Garrido D. 8. Castellano J. 20. Sabater D. 18. Manny 17. Escobar J.	1. Banuz M. (G) 22. Muguruza J. 20. Rodri Suarez 4. Coch A. 17. Martinez A. 7. Calderon C. 18. Solar M. 8. Barri 14. Bicho J. 10. Rey A. 19. Hanza D.
Substitutes
5. Aurtenetxe J. 19. Conejero M. 6. Elosegi G. 10. Ferni 1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 27. Jaraiz A. 9. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 23. Miceli A. 21. Salado A. 11. Schmerbock M.	13. Amigo A. 16. Berto 11. Bilbao L. 23. Blanco F. 2. Garcia V. 9. Guillermo 3. Pol J. 6. Presa K. 21. Rodri 12. Toca N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Barri 🟨,
20', Rodri Suarez 🟨,
43', Bicho J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Barri ↓, Presa K. ↑,
55', Rey A. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
55', Hanza D. ↓, Guillermo ↑,
57', Coch A. 🟨,
65', Ezkurdia I. 🟥,
68', Solar M. ↓, Blanco F. ↑,
68', Calderon C. ↓, Berto ↑,
70', Fernandez O. ↓, Jaraiz A. ↑,
70', Garrido D. ↓, Aurtenetxe J. ↑,
75', Presa K. 🟨,
77', Sabater D. ↓, Salado A. ↑,
77', Manny ↓, Ferni ↑,
86', Escobar J. ↓, Schmerbock M. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6).

SD Logroñés has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SD Logroñés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches SD Logroñés won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams SD Logroñés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.03.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	SD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Sestao - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	SD Logroñés - Teruel	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Real Sociedad B - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.03.24	Leonesa - Lugo	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Osasuna B - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Sabadell - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Leonesa - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.09.23	Leonesa - SD Logroñés	1:0
13.03.22	Leonesa - SD Logroñés	2:2
12.11.21	SD Logroñés - Leonesa	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.02.14	Leonesa - SD Logroñés	2:1
29.09.13	SD Logroñés - Leonesa	3:1

Upcoming Matches