Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	SD Logroñés		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	4.33	3	1.91
	3.8	2.95	1.9
	4	3.1	1.95
	4.33	3.18	1.96
	4.69	2.98	1.96
	3.6	2.9	1.91
	4.12	3.13	1.95
	3.95	3.05	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.28)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)	1.94 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
22.4%

Draw
30.2%

Ponferradina
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

31.4%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

30.3%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponferradina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

SD Logroñés - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 4. Murua J. 16. Ezkurdia I. 3. Paredes J. 14. Cova A. 8. Castellano J. 20. Sabater D. 18. Manny 7. Fernandez O. 17. Escobar J. 10. Ferni	1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 15. Leal A. 20. Javi Lancho 19. Lopez A. 14. Cerda J. 16. Lozano M. (C) 6. Igbekeme J. 11. Dacosta R. 7. Gomez E. 9. Borja V.
Substitutes
21. Arratia S. 5. Aurtenetxe J. 11. Carmona P. 6. Elosegi G. 27. Jaraiz A. 9. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 13. Marti O. (G) 2. Trespalacios A.	18. Abelenda B. 12. Claveria P. 2. Diez A. 5. Fernandez J. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 3. Jimenez N. 8. Llonch P. 21. Palanca 23. Prendes M. 10. Yuri

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches SD Logroñés is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponferradina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ponferradina is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.01.24	Osasuna B - SD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	SD Logroñés - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Teruel - SD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	SD Logroñés - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
26.11.23	Real Unión de Irun - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWLW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.01.24	Ponferradina - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Barcelona B - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Ponferradina - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Ponferradina - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWWL

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