Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ponferradina		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	5
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.61	3.75	5.2
	1.6	3.71	5.38
	1.6	3.65	5.26	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.5
	1.59	3.64	5.58
	1.61	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)	3.66 ↑ (3.65)	5.3 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
57.6%

Draw
25.1%

Tarazona
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

25.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponferradina's performance.

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tarazona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Ponferradina - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 5. Lancho J. 3. Novoa G. 19. Lopez A. 9. Cabanzon Y. 16. Lozano M. 22. Esquerdo V. 15. Bustos A. 10. Valle B. 21. Cortes J.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Camus S. 15. Rodriguez J. 4. Trilles M. 3. Martinez Chechu 23. Rico M. 8. Romero B. 7. Areso J. 14. Buyla J. 18. Alvarez M. 19. Fuentes A.
Substitutes
8. Abelenda B. 25. Barredo P. (G) 6. Fernandez B. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 12. Jurgens O. 11. Mula A. 4. Sibille K. 26. Zhadanov I.	28. Cabrera I. 17. Gil I. 11. Martin J. 6. Mencia J. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 27. Serrano M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Romero B. 🟨,
56', 🟨,
69', Valle B. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Bustos A. ⚽,
73', 2 - 0, Cortes J. ⚽,
76', Bustos A. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
76', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Abelenda B. ↑,
80', Romero B. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
84', Cortes J. ↓, Jurgens O. ↑,
84', Esquerdo V. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
85', Areso J. ↓, Gil I. ↑,
87', Trilles M. 🟥,
90+1', Fuentes A. ↓, Mencia J. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14).

Ponferradina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tarazona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ponferradina is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ponferradina to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.24	Lugo - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Ponferradina - Castellón	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.24	Ourense CF - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Ponferradina - Amorebieta	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWLW
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Tarazona - Lugo	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Osasuna B - Tarazona	0:3 ✺
24.11.24	Tarazona - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
17.11.24	Ourense CF - Tarazona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.03.24	Tarazona - Ponferradina	2:0
25.11.23	Ponferradina - Tarazona	0:1

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