Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 12

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina (Khabarovsk)

Referee: Zakharov I. (Rus)


	SKA Khabarovsk		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.13	3.21	3.79
	2.07	3.24	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.05)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	3.72 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk
45.1%

Draw
29.4%

Tyumen
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

28.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

SKA Khabarovsk - Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Imamov I. (G) 20. Aliev K. 55. Bykov A. 92. Emeljanov R. 70. Gadzhimuradov R. 11. Gongapshev A. 46. Pershin N. 17. Pokidyshev N. 3. Poyarkov N. 7. Simonyan A. 44. Zhuravlev Y.	97. Goshev E. (G) 72. Bem A. 20. Kenfak O. 34. Khramtsov M. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 32. Kulishev A. 5. Poroykov S. 10. Savinov A. 30. Shavlokhov D. 41. Sukhoruchenko M.
Substitutes
6. Bagiev S. 14. Bavin Y. 29. Charles Y. J. 8. Gagloev A. 9. Gongadze G. 21. Gurban G. 28. Iosipoi M. 33. Khalimbekov R. 99. Khashkulov A. 1. Kuznetsov A. (G) . Martinez B. . Miroshnichenko N.	2. Kalugin N. 17. Kosarev K. 33. Kritsyuk S. (G) 9. Kuptsov D. 70. Maryanov A. 90. Mokaev I. 13. Petrov M. 27. Petukhov I. 8. Talalay D. 36. Voropaev A.
Coaches
Poddubskiy A.	Menshchikov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Emeljanov R. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Aliev K. ⚽,
44', Pershin N. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Simonyan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Savinov A. ↓, Talalay D. ↑,
46', Poroykov S. ↓, Kuptsov D. ↑,
51', Poyarkov N. 🟥,
52', Emeljanov R. ↓, Gurban G. ↑,
61', Bem A. ↓, Voropaev A. ↑,
64', Simonyan A. ↓, Bavin Y. ↑,
65', Gongapshev A. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
75', 🟨,
76', Kulishev A. ↓, Kosarev K. ↑,
76', Korotaev A. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
78', Aliev K. ↓, Miroshnichenko N. ↑,
78', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, Iosipoi M. ↑,
82', Talalay D. 🟨,
86', Khramtsov M. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Shavlokhov D. ⚽,
90+2', Bavin Y. 🟨,
90+5', Imamov I. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches SKA Khabarovsk won 3.

Recent matches SKA Khabarovsk is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tyumen is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SKA Khabarovsk will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches SKA Khabarovsk won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams SKA Khabarovsk won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian Cup
25.09.24	Ural - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - SKA Khabarovsk	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
10.09.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Arsenal Tula - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWWL
- FC Tyumen
Russian Cup
24.09.24	Chelyabinsk - Tyumen	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Tyumen - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Tyumen - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
09.09.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Sochi - Tyumen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
16.05.24	Tyumen - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0
23.07.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Tyumen	2:0
10.11.18	SKA Khabarovsk - Tyumen	2:1
08.08.18	Tyumen - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1
26.03.17	SKA Khabarovsk - Tyumen	1:0
Russian FNL Cup
12.02.17	SKA Khabarovsk - Tyumen	1:2
Russian FNL
28.08.16	Tyumen - SKA Khabarovsk	1:3

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