The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Tula 52.5%
Draw 27.1%
SKA Khabarovsk 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.9%
26.8%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
21%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
SKA Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Tula that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Arsenal Tula - SKA Khabarovsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Melikhov A. (G) 5. Krashevskiy Y. 4. Penchikov D. (C) 82. Alekhin A. 44. Isaenko O. 14. Brnovic M. 21. Razdorskikh N. 19. Glushkov N. 25. Biryukov A. 10. Zhigulev I. 11. Magomedov R.
1. Shtepa M. (G) 91. Noskov E. 37. Chirkov M. 2. Zhirov A. 63. Borisov D. 5. Bliev E. 6. Bagiev S. 10. Aliev K. (C) 14. Mosin E. 20. Shkolik I. 50. Glotov S.
Substitutes
24. Gotsuk K. 53. Grigorjev D. 52. Kuzin A. 36. Levashov M. (G) 23. Melekestsev T. 8. Shamkin D. 7. Tamarindo 18. Tsulaya M. (G) 22. Uridia G. 75. Zhamaletdinov T.
9. Alcalde J. 11. Bragin V. 17. Fomin D. 24. Gorelishvili M. 84. Grebenkin Y. 77. Koryan A. 21. Maksimov M. 8. Markitesov D. 7. Motpan N. 29. Mukhin A. 31. Nagaev D. (G) 4. Savichev K.
Coaches
Gunko D.
Zhukov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Glotov S. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Magomedov R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Biryukov A. ↓, Tamarindo ↑,
46', Zhigulev I. ↓, Shamkin D. ↑,
46', Glotov S. ↓, Bragin V. ↑,
58', Shamkin D. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Tamarindo ⚽,
62', Mosin E. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
62', Bragin V. ↓, Alcalde J. ↑,
74', Bliev E. ↓, Gorelishvili M. ↑,
76', Magomedov R. ↓, Melekestsev T. ↑,
79', Aliev K. ↓, Maksimov M. ↑,
83', Brnovic M. ↓, Zhamaletdinov T. ↑,
88', Motpan N. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Gorelishvili M. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 4.
Arsenal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
SKA Khabarovsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
SKA Khabarovsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Arsenal is a strong favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).
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Melikhov A. (G) 
Brnovic M. 
Tamarindo 
Alcalde J. 
Koryan A. 
Motpan N. 
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