Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:00	Sky Sport


	Cittadella		SPAL

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	2	3.2	3.9
	2.04	3.15	3.65
	2.14	3.18	4.06
	2.15	3.2	3.4
	2	3.26	3.94	Watch
	2.04	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.27)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	3.74 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
45.5%

Draw
29.5%

SPAL
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Cittadella - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). SPAL will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 14).

Cittadella has the most likely position - 16 (7.59%), has project points - 47, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (23%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

SPAL has the most likely position - 14 (7.64%), has project points - 47, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 33, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cittadella will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
08.10.22	Brescia - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Cittadella - Ternana	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Reggina - Cittadella	3:0 ✺
10.09.22	Cittadella - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Ascoli - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLWT
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie B
08.10.22	Frosinone - SPAL	2:0 ✺
01.10.22	SPAL - Genoa	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Como - SPAL	3:3 ✺
11.09.22	SPAL - Venezia	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Bari - SPAL	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.03.22	SPAL - Cittadella	0:0
17.10.21	Cittadella - SPAL	0:0
20.03.21	SPAL - Cittadella	1:0
12.12.20	Cittadella - SPAL	2:0
Coppa Italia
28.11.17	SPAL - Cittadella	0:2
Italian Serie B
25.04.17	SPAL - Cittadella	2:1
03.12.16	Cittadella - SPAL	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
01.11.26	Cittadella - Treviso	✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.26	Brescia - Cittadella	✺

Cittadella - SPAL