Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 15

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	SPAL		Ancona

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.36	3.05	3.45
	2.36	2.9	3.45
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.19	3.02	3.18
	2.13	3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.15)	3 (3)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
41.7%

Draw
30.6%

Ancona
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

SPAL - Ancona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alfonso E. (G) 3. Bruscagin M. 27. Peda P. 13. Bassoli A. 33. Tripaldelli A. 25. Carraro M. 88. Puletto F. 75. Rao E. 37. Maistro F. 9. Orfei A. 7. Antenucci M.	32. Perucchini F. (G) 23. Clemente G. 4. Cella S. 30. Pellizzari S. 3. Martina A. 21. Paolucci L. 8. Gatto E. 94. Saco C. 10. Energe A. 9. Spagnoli A. 80. Gavioli L.
Substitutes
90. Angeletti T. 6. Bertini M. 34. Breit P. 21. Celia R. 8. Collodel R. 28. Del Favero M. (G) 44. Dumbravanu D. 2. Fiordaliso A. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 14. Parravicini F. 11. Rabbi S. 77. Rosafio M. 16. Saiani F. 4. Valentini N.	19. Agyemang G. 70. Barnaba T. 99. Basso G. 11. Cioffi A. 31. Dutu E. 20. Kristoffersen . J. 13. Marenco F. 72. Mattioli A. 6. Nador S. 7. Peli L. 22. Testagrossa G. (G) 12. Vitali L. (G)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

SPAL has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ancona is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SPAL will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
19.11.23	Carrarese - SPAL	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	SPAL - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.11.23	SPAL - Lucchese	0:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
06.11.23	Rimini - SPAL	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Sassari Torres - SPAL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLT
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
18.11.23	Ancona - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Sassari Torres - Ancona	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Ancona - Perugia	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Fermana - Ancona	1:1 ✺
26.10.23	Ancona - Arezzo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
17.04.16	Ancona - SPAL	1:2
06.12.15	SPAL - Ancona	1:1
29.03.15	Ancona - SPAL	0:3
16.11.14	SPAL - Ancona	0:0

SPAL - Ancona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide