Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Ancona		Perugia

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.11	2.96	2.36
	3.11	2.97	2.31
	3.25	3.2	2.05
	3.02	3.04	2.27
	3.05	3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ancona
29.5%

Draw
30.2%

Perugia
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

29.8%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

29.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Ancona - Perugia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Perucchini F. (G) 23. Clemente G. 4. Cella S. 30. Pellizzari S. 3. Martina A. 94. Saco C. 8. Gatto E. (C) 21. Paolucci L. 11. Cioffi A. 20. Kristoffersen . J. 10. Energe A.	12. Adamonis M. (G) 7. Paz Y. 5. Angella G. 6. Vulikic S. 71. Bozzolan A. 20. Ricci F. 16. Bartolomei P. 28. Kouan C. 26. Santoro S. 10. Matos 21. Cudrig N.
Substitutes
19. Agyemang G. 70. Barnaba T. 99. Basso G. 31. Dutu E. 80. Gavioli L. 13. Marenco F. 72. Mattioli A. 6. Nador S. 34. Radicchio V. M. 22. Testagrossa G. (G) 12. Vitali L. (G)	14. Bezziccheri D. 3. Cancellieri D. 17. Ebnoutalib Y. 22. Furlan J. (G) 86. Giunti G. 4. Iannoni E. 23. Lisi F. 94. Mezzoni F. 11. Seghetti A. 91. Souare M. 24. Torrasi E. 9. Vazquez F.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Ancona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Perugia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.23	Fermana - Ancona	1:1 ✺
26.10.23	Ancona - Arezzo	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Rimini - Ancona	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Carrarese - Ancona	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Ancona - Vis Pesaro	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTLT
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
30.10.23	Perugia - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
26.10.23	Recanatese - Perugia	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Juventus U23 - Perugia	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Perugia - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
09.10.23	Fermana - Perugia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWTW

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