Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Frosinone		Chievo

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.4
	2.45	2.9	3.25	Watch
	2.39	2.8	3.2
	2.5	2.96	3.46
	2.2	3	3.7
	2.44	3	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)	2.96 ↓ (3.03)	3.35 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
39.7%

Draw
32%

Chievo
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

31.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

20.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frosinone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chievo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Frosinone - Chievo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 9).

Frosinone has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Recent matches Frosinone is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chievo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chievo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Frosinone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
28.11.20	Brescia - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
20.11.20	Frosinone - Nuova Cosenza	0:2 ✺
07.11.20	Monza - Frosinone	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Frosinone - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
24.10.20	Pescara - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWW
- AC Chievo
Italian Serie B
27.11.20	Chievo - Lecce	1:2 ✺
07.11.20	Pordenone - Chievo	1:1 ✺
31.10.20	Chievo - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
24.10.20	Monza - Chievo	1:2 ✺
20.10.20	Chievo - Brescia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.06.20	Chievo - Frosinone	2:0
10.11.19	Frosinone - Chievo	2:0
Italian Serie A
25.05.19	Frosinone - Chievo	0:0
29.12.18	Chievo - Frosinone	1:0
20.04.16	Chievo - Frosinone	5:1
06.12.15	Frosinone - Chievo	0:2

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