The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SPAL 27.3%
Draw 31.2%
Pisa 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
29.7%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
29.6%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SPAL's form might have worsened.
Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pisa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPAL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pisa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.8%
64.7%
26.5%
SPAL - Pisa Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Pisa will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 64.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48.6% โ 80.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
SPAL has the most likely position - 16 (8.83%), has project points - 45, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (30%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Pisa has the most likely position - 4 (10.57%), has project points - 57, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (56%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
This event has quality35, importance41, match rating38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1.
Recent matches SPAL is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pisa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches SPAL won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-10.
Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.
Italy
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