Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Football
Azerbaijan	23:45	CBC Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 2
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	20:45	Net4+
Israel	21:45	Sport 4
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251
Norway	20:45	VG+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Turkey	22:45	S Sport+
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
Usa	14:45	Paramount+
International	19:45	Disney+, Onefootball


	Lecce		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	3.4	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3.3
	2.42	2.85	3.45
	2.47	2.97	3.6
	2.42	2.93	3.55	Watch
	2.4	2.88	3.5
	2.49	2.98	3.6	Watch
	2.45	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.19)	2.93 ↓ (3.25)	3.49 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
39.6%

Draw
32.8%

Empoli
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.4%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.2%	12.8%	59%

Lecce - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 11 - 28.9%). Empoli will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 45% – 76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (G) 12. Guilbert F. 4. Gaspar K. 6. Baschirotto F. (C) 25. Gallo A. 10. Oudin R. 20. Ramadani Y. 8. Rafia H. 13. Dorgu P. 9. Krstovic N. 22. Banda L.	23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. (C) 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 6. Henderson L. 32. Haas N. 93. Maleh Y. 13. Cacace L. 29. Colombo L. 9. Pellegri P.
Substitutes
98. Borbei A. (G) 29. Coulibaly L. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 19. Jean G. 77. Kaba M. 27. McJannet E. 2. Pelmard A. 50. Pierotti S. 3. Rebic A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 11. Sansone N. 7. Tete Morente	98. Brancolini F. (G) 22. De Sciglio M. 19. Ekong E. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 3. Pezzella G. 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 17. Solbakken O.
Coaches
Gotti L.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Banda L. ↓, Pierotti S. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Pellegri P. ⚽, Cacace L. (A),
45+1', Cacace L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Pellegri P. 🟨,
60', Ramadani Y. ↓, Sansone N. ↑,
60', Oudin R. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
61', Goglichidze S. ↓, De Sciglio M. ↑,
68', Pellegri P. ↓, Solbakken O. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Pierotti S. ⚽, Gallo A. (A),
78', Guilbert F. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
80', Maleh Y. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
80', Cacace L. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
84', Henderson L. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lecce won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Lecce will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J. (Injury) Sansone N. (Heart Problems)

There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Esposito Se. (Injury) Grassi A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M. (Thigh Injury) Bonifazi K. (Knee Injury) Burnete R. (Thigh Injury) Hasa L. (Muscle Injury) Kaba M. (Injury) Marchwinski F. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Perisan S. (Ankle Injury) Sazonov S. (Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
02.11.24	Bologna - Lecce	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Lecce - Verona	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Napoli - Lecce	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Lecce - Fiorentina	0:6 ✺
05.10.24	Udinese - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
04.11.24	Empoli - Como	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:3 ✺
27.10.24	Parma - Empoli	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Empoli - Napoli	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Lazio - Empoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
13.04.24	Lecce - Empoli	1:0
11.12.23	Empoli - Lecce	1:1
03.04.23	Empoli - Lecce	1:0
28.08.22	Lecce - Empoli	1:1
Italian Serie B
10.05.21	Empoli - Lecce	2:1
24.01.21	Lecce - Empoli	2:2

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