Match Info

Date: 6 November 2020, Friday


	SPAL		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.2	Watch
	2	3.1	4.25
	2.05	3	4.15	Watch
	2.02	3	3.9
	2.1	3.2	4.18
	2.05	3	4.2
	2.07	3.14	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.9)	3.08 ↓ (3.18)	4.13 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
46.4%

Draw
30.8%

Salernitana
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPAL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salernitana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	32.4%	20.6%

SPAL - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%). Salernitana will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SPAL: 30.3% – 63.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Semitofinals)).

SPAL has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has a small chance of win league (15%).

Salernitana has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently SPAL have a series of guest games.

In this match SPAL is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie B
01.11.20	Reggina - SPAL	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Crotone - SPAL	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie B
24.10.20	SPAL - Vicenza Virtus	3:2 ✺
20.10.20	Empoli - SPAL	2:1 ✺
17.10.20	Pordenone - SPAL	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWLT
- US Salernitana 1919
Coppa Italia
27.10.20	Sampdoria - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
24.10.20	Salernitana - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
20.10.20	Vicenza Virtus - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
17.10.20	Salernitana - Pisa	4:1 ✺
03.10.20	Chievo - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.02.17	Salernitana - SPAL	1:2
01.10.16	SPAL - Salernitana	3:2

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