Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Salernitana		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.9
	2.05	3.1	3.95	Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.7
	2.06	3.48	3.9
	2.05	3.1	4
	2.08	3.3	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.1)	3.23 ↑ (3.05)	3.85 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
46.2%

Draw
29.2%

Ascoli
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salernitana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ascoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Salernitana - Ascoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Salernitana has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Ascoli has a chance of relegated (32%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Salernitana is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ascoli is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salernitana will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
20.10.20	Vicenza Virtus - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
17.10.20	Salernitana - Pisa	4:1 ✺
03.10.20	Chievo - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Salernitana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
26.09.20	Salernitana - Reggina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWWT
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
20.10.20	Ascoli - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
17.10.20	Frosinone - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Ascoli - Lecce	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Ascoli - Perugia	1:4 ✺
Italian Serie B
26.09.20	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.07.20	Ascoli - Salernitana	3:2
30.11.19	Salernitana - Ascoli	1:1
16.02.19	Ascoli - Salernitana	2:4
25.09.18	Salernitana - Ascoli	1:1
03.03.18	Ascoli - Salernitana	1:3
07.10.17	Salernitana - Ascoli	0:0
Club Friendly
30.07.17	Ascoli - Salernitana	0:1

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