The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reggina 57.5%
Draw 26.5%
SPAL 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.8%
26.4%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.1%
25.8%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.3%
13.6%
9.1%
Reggina - SPAL Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). SPAL will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Reggina: 59.8% โ 94.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 2 (20.8%), has project points - 63, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), has a chance of promoted (43%), has a small chance of win league (14%).
SPAL has the most likely position - 18 (10.95%), has project points - 44, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (37%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality33, importance54, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match Reggio Calabria is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Reggio Calabria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Italy
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