Match Info

2. Liga - Round 17

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Huber-Arena (Wels)

Referee: Harkam A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	SPG Wels		Austria Lustenau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.3	2.58
	2.73	3.35	2.67
	2.55	3.56	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.58	3.38	2.58	Watch
	2.57	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.28)	3.32 ↑ (3.28)	2.58 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPG Wels
36%

Draw
28%

Austria Lustenau
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPG Wels's performance.

Austria Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austria Lustenau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPG Wels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austria Lustenau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	8.3%	75%

SPG Wels - Austria Lustenau Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Austria Lustenau will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Austria Lustenau will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Schrocker K. (G) 12. Brugger M. 38. Obermuller P. 14. Tischler L. 4. Feyrer S. (C) 77. Thurnwald M. 45. Sylla S. 22. Conte K. 33. Bosnjak A. 20. Malinowski S. 9. Gashi A.	27. Schierl D. (G) 7. Gmeiner F. 18. Voisine R. 26. Ibertsberger L. 31. Maak M. (C) 6. Wade M. 23. Grabher P. 22. Bouchenna M. 24. Diarra S. 61. Ismailcebioglu H. 99. Lahne J.
Substitutes
42. Lechner F. 3. Luan 11. Mayr A. 6. Muller P. 8. Radics A. 7. Schwaighofer J. 99. Szakal S. (G)	17. Au Yeong D. 30. Bohm P. (G) 9. Jastremski L. 10. Ouattara I. 21. Rouquette A. 12. Vucenovic M. 3. William Rodrigues
Coaches
Heinle C.	Mader M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Obermuller P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lechner F. ↓, Brugger M. ↑,
57', Wade M. 🟨,
61', Ibertsberger L. 🟨,
63', Ismailcebioglu H. ↓, Ouattara I. ↑,
63', Sylla S. ↓, Muller P. ↑,
71', Malinowski S. ↓, Schwaighofer J. ↑,
71', Feyrer S. ↓, Luan ↑,
77', Lahne J. ↓, Jastremski L. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Bouchenna M. ⚽,
85', Obermuller P. ↓, Radics A. ↑,
90', Diarra S. ↓, Vucenovic M. ↑,
90', Conte K. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 5).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Austria Lustenau might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, SPG Wels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPG Wels
Austrian 2 Liga
05.12.25	Floridsdorfer AC - SPG Wels	3:1 ✺
28.11.25	SPG Wels - St. Pölten	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Sturm Graz B - SPG Wels	0:3 ✺
07.11.25	SPG Wels - First Vienna	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	SPG Wels - Bregenz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWTT
- Austria Lustenau
Austrian 2 Liga
06.12.25	Austria Lustenau - Liefering	1:0 ✺
28.11.25	Amstetten - Austria Lustenau	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Austria Lustenau - Austria Salzburg	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.11.25	Austria Lustenau - St. Gallen	0:3 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
08.11.25	Bregenz - Austria Lustenau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
08.08.25	Austria Lustenau - SPG Wels	1:0

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