Match Info

GERMANY: DFB POKAL - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Fritz M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Italy	Sky Sport
Malaysia	Astro
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 6
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Saarbrücken		Kaiserslautern

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.55
	2.85	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.63
	2.88	3.25	2.64
	2.7	3.3	2.38
	2.92	3.46	2.61	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.59)	3.31 ↓ (3.51)	2.56 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
33.7%

Draw
28.9%

Kaiserslautern
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.2%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

28%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Kaiserslautern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Saarbrücken - Kaiserslautern Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Saarbrücken will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kaiserslautern: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 16. Thoelke B. 8. Zeitz M. (C) 29. Boeder L. 7. Rizzuto C. 33. Kerber L. 6. Sontheimer P. 19. Gaus M. 25. Naifi A. 10. Rabihic K. 9. Brunker K.	32. Himmelmann R. (G) 6. Toure A. 2. Tomiak B. 33. Elvedi J. 15. Puchacz T. 26. Kaloc F. 16. Niehues J. 8. Zimmer J. (C) 7. Ritter M. 11. Redondo K. 19. Hanslik D.
Substitutes
17. Becker D. 15. Becker R. 11. Biada J. 23. Civeja T. 21. Di Michele Sanchez F. 20. Gunther-Schmidt J. 30. Paterok T. (G) 22. Stehle S. F. 14. Uaferro B.	40. Abiama D. 5. Kraus K. 17. Opoku A. 20. Raschl T. 27. Ronstadt F. 24. Simakala B. 30. Spahic A. (G) 25. Stojilkovic F. 29. Tachie R.
Coaches
Ziehl R.	Funkel F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Redondo K. ↓, Opoku A. ↑,
35', Sontheimer P. 🟨,
37', Tomiak B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Gaus M. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Ritter M. ⚽, Toure A. (A),
62', Zeitz M. 🟨,
67', Naifi A. ↓, Stehle S. F. ↑,
67', Sontheimer P. ↓, Civeja T. ↑,
67', Gaus M. ↓, Di Michele Sanchez F. ↑,
67', Hanslik D. ↓, Stojilkovic F. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Toure A. ⚽, Puchacz T. (A),
77', Toure A. 🟨,
77', Brunker K. 🟨,
77', Di Michele Sanchez F. 🟨,
77', Niehues J. 🟨,
78', Zimmer J. ↓, Ronstadt F. ↑,
78', Zeitz M. ↓, Biada J. ↑,
86', Rabihic K. ↓, Uaferro B. ↑,
90+4', Uaferro B. 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kaiserslautern could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Saarbrücken won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Saarbrücken won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
16.03.24	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
12.03.24	Saarbrücken - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
09.03.24	Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Lübeck - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Saarbrücken - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWTT
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern
German 2 Bundesliga
30.03.24	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Hannover - Kaiserslautern	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Kaiserslautern - Osnabrück	3:2 ✺
02.03.24	Hansa Rostock - Kaiserslautern	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Kaiserslautern - Karlsruher	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
17.04.22	Kaiserslautern - Saarbrücken	3:1
06.11.21	Saarbrücken - Kaiserslautern	0:2
17.04.21	Kaiserslautern - Saarbrücken	2:1
29.11.20	Saarbrücken - Kaiserslautern	1:1

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