Match Info

GERMANY: DFB POKAL - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Saarbrücken		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.62	Watch
	5.25	4.1	1.61
	5.5	4.35	1.62	Watch
	5.53	4.34	1.63
	5.53	4.22	1.63
	4.8	4	1.55
	5.43	4.4	1.66	Watch
	5.4	4.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↑ (3.87)	4.2 ↑ (3.78)	1.61 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
17.8%

Draw
22.8%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

25%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

24.9%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saarbrücken's form might have worsened.

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saarbrücken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia Mönchengladbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	1.9%	92.5%

Saarbrücken - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Users Predictions: Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (49 of 53 users predict this - 92.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.34% – 99.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 14. Uaferro B. 8. Zeitz M. (C) 29. Boeder L. 7. Rizzuto C. 21. Di Michele Sanchez F. 6. Sontheimer P. 33. Kerber L. 10. Rabihic K. 9. Brunker K. 25. Naifi A.	33. Nicolas M. (G) 29. Scally J. 5. Friedrich M. 30. Elvedi N. 8. Weigl J. 9. Honorat F. 10. Neuhaus F. 17. Kone M. 20. Netz L. 25. Hack R. 13. Siebatcheu J.
Substitutes
15. Becker R. 11. Biada J. 23. Civeja T. 19. Gaus M. 20. Gunther-Schmidt J. 30. Paterok T. (G) 34. Recktenwald F. 22. Stehle S. F. 16. Thoelke B.	7. Herrmann P. 24. Jantschke T. 23. Kramer Ch. 18. Lainer S. 19. Ngoumou N. 41. Olschowsky J. (G) 14. Plea A. 27. Reitz R. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Ziehl R.	Seoane G.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Borussia M is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Saarbrücken won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Saarbrücken won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
09.03.24	Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Lübeck - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Saarbrücken - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
21.02.24	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	2:5 ✺
18.02.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTWW
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
09.03.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	3:3 ✺
02.03.24	Mainz - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	5:2 ✺
17.02.24	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Darmstadt	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.23	Saarbrücken - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:2

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