Match Info

3. Liga - Round 24

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Fuchs N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Saarbrücken		VfB Stuttgart II

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.6	Watch
	1.87	4.01	3.84
	1.82	4	3.7	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.4
	1.8	3.68	3.68	Watch
	1.81	3.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.96)	3.77 ↑ (3.71)	3.65 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
50.2%

Draw
24.5%

VfB Stuttgart II
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

24.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

23.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

VfB Stuttgart II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfB Stuttgart II than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Saarbrücken - VfB Stuttgart II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Saarbrücken (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Saarbrücken will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Menzel P. (G) 7. Rizzuto C. 18. Wilhelm L. 32. Bormuth R. 28. Bretschneider N. 23. Civeja T. 6. Sontheimer P. (C) 17. Elongo-Yombo R. 20. Pick F. 10. Rabihic K. 9. Brunker K.	1. Hellstern F. (G) 24. Olivier C. 6. Groiss A. 13. Kohler T. 16. Meyer L. 8. Di Benedetto S. 5. Catovic M. 31. Darvich N. 10. Sessa N. 34. Janjic A. 27. Ouro-Tagba M.
Substitutes
27. Bichsel J. 2. Fahrner P. 26. Groune A. 15. Kamara A. 5. Krahn E. 1. Paterok T. (G) 39. Schmidt P. 19. Vasiliadis S. 24. Wollschlager L.	19. Fressle K. 4. Herwerth M. 39. Jatta N. 18. Luers J. 17. Nankishi A. 29. Nothnagel D. 7. Penna L. 23. Spalt Y. 33. von der Felsen J. (G)
Coaches
Giannikis A.	Willig N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Bretschneider N. 🟨,
16', Ouro-Tagba M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Elongo-Yombo R. ⚽, Pick F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Olivier C. ↓, Penna L. ↑,
46', Darvich N. ↓, Nothnagel D. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Brunker K. ⚽, Elongo-Yombo R. (A),
50', Di Benedetto S. 🟨,
61', Sessa N. ↓, Spalt Y. ↑,
61', Di Benedetto S. ↓, Luers J. ↑,
65', Brunker K. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
65', Rabihic K. ↓, Vasiliadis S. ↑,
74', Civeja T. ↓, Krahn E. ↑,
76', Kohler T. ↓, Jatta N. ↑,
85', Sontheimer P. 🟨,
90+1', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Bichsel J. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 4.

Saarbrücken is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stuttgart II's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Saarbrücken could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Saarbrücken won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Saarbrucken	8	4	2	2	19:12	7	14
14	Stuttgart II	8	2	2	4	13:16	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Saarbrücken - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.87%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
07.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Saarbrücken - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Saarbrücken - Energie Cottbus	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hansa Rostock - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLTT
- VfB Stuttgart II
German 3 Bundesliga
07.02.26	VfB Stuttgart II - 1860 München	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Verl - VfB Stuttgart II	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Ingolstadt - VfB Stuttgart II	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Duisburg	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Osnabrück - VfB Stuttgart II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
13.09.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Saarbrücken	1:3
14.03.25	Saarbrücken - VfB Stuttgart II	0:2
19.10.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Saarbrücken	2:3
Club Friendly
13.07.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Saarbrücken	1:2
German Regionalliga Sudwest
08.12.18	Saarbrücken - VfB Stuttgart II	3:1
07.08.18	VfB Stuttgart II - Saarbrücken	0:3
14.04.18	VfB Stuttgart II - Saarbrücken	2:1

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