Match Info

Date: 8 November 2020, Sunday


	Sabadell		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	4	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.5
	2.35	2.85	3.5	Watch
	2.23	2.8	3.65
	2.32	2.94	3.89
	2.8	2.7	2.9	Watch
	2.31	2.88	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.82)	2.83 ↑ (2.73)	3.59 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
40.2%

Draw
33.5%

Málaga
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

34.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

24.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabadell's performance.

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sabadell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.2%	8.3%	37.5%

Sabadell - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Sabadell will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Málaga will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabadell: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Sabadell has a chance of relegated (40%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Málaga has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Málaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
05.11.20	Sabadell - Almería	1:2 ✺
01.11.20	Ponferradina - Sabadell	0:3 ✺
29.10.20	Sabadell - Leganés	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Zaragoza - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
17.10.20	Albacete Balompié - Sabadell	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LWWTL
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
02.11.20	Málaga - Espanyol	0:3 ✺
29.10.20	Mallorca - Málaga	3:1 ✺
25.10.20	Málaga - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
22.10.20	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Zaragoza - Málaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLTWW

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