Match Info

Date: 3 May 2021, Monday


	Sabadell		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.7	3.1	2.1
	3.7	3.05	2.15	Watch
	3.6	3	2.13
	3.88	3.11	2.23
	4	3.1	2	Watch
	3.72	3.13	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (3.96)	3.08 ↓ (3.19)	2.13 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
25%

Draw
30.6%

Rayo Vallecano
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

29.5%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

22.8%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabadell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.1%	32.3%	51.6%

Sabadell - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Sabadell will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 16 - 51.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 32.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 34% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Sabadell has a chance of relegated (49%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Rayo Vallecano has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (72%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has not chance of win league.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rayo Vallecano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
26.04.21	Sabadell - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
16.04.21	Fuenlabrada - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
11.04.21	Sabadell - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
04.04.21	Leganés - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
31.03.21	Sabadell - Girona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTTLT
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
26.04.21	Rayo Vallecano - Albacete Balompié	2:2 ✺
18.04.21	UD Logroñés - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
14.04.21	Rayo Vallecano - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
10.04.21	Rayo Vallecano - Girona	2:1 ✺
02.04.21	Almería - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.09.20	Rayo Vallecano - Sabadell	2:1

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