Match Info

Date: 21 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano (Moron)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)


	Deportivo Morón		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.87	4.33
	2.1	2.75	4
	2.1	2.65	4.1
	2.09	2.75	3.85
	2.2	2.73	4.46
	2.15	2.62	3.9
	2.06	2.9	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.55)	2.75 ↑ (2.69)	4.06 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Morón
43.7%

Draw
33.6%

Deportivo Maipú
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

34.3%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

34.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Morón's performance.

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Morón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.8%	52.2%	13%

Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 52.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 19 and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Deportivo Maipú could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportivo Morón will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.22	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Morón	1:1 ✺
10.08.22	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Morón	0:1 ✺
05.08.22	Deportivo Morón - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
01.08.22	Alvarado - Deportivo Morón	0:1 ✺
28.07.22	Deportivo Morón - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWWT
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.08.22	Deportivo Maipú - Temperley	2:1 ✺
07.08.22	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
31.07.22	Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:0 ✺
27.07.22	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
22.07.22	Deportivo Maipú - Villa Dálmine	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLW

Upcoming Matches