Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sacramento Republic		Spokane Velocity

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.45	4.45
	1.68	3.64	4.55
	1.75	3.39	4.62	Watch
	1.65	3.3	4.6
	1.65	3.52	4.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)	3.46 ↓ (3.54)	4.59 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
54%

Draw
26.2%

Spokane Velocity
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

28.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sacramento Republic - Spokane Velocity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 6. Kleemann F. 4. Desmond L. (C) 22. Benitez M. 17. Wanner D. 15. Essel A. 20. Willey B. 16. Wolff T. 10. Rodriguez A. 11. Ajago F.	1. Lewis S. (G) 13. Opara L. 5. Margvelashvili G. 12. Miller C. 33. Mensah M. 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. (C) 7. Gallardo J. 8. Vinyals N. 17. Alexandre M. 11. John-Brown S.
Substitutes
24. Casas J. 71. Edwards K. 14. Kimbrough D. 7. Malango M. 31. Randolph J. (G) 8. Rodriguez M. 3. Spaulding R. 55. Ukaegbu C.	20. Covi I. 10. Gil L. 14. Hernandez M. 23. Merancio C. (G) 42. Meredith B. 16. Pelaez A. 18. Waldeck D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Wolff T. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
16', Desmond L. 🟨,
19', Alexandre M. 🟨,
39', Wanner D. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
40', Malango M. 🟨,
45', Benitez M. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Malango M. ⚽, Ajago F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 3 - 0, Malango M. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
59', Ajago F. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
59', Wolff T. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
60', Gurr J. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
62', Vinyals N. ↓, Gil L. ↑,
62', Fernandez C. ↓, Meredith B. ↑,
62', Opara L. ↓, Pelaez A. ↑,
64', Kleemann F. 🟨,
66', Kleemann F. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
75', Gallardo J. 🟨,
77', Edwards K. 🟨,
79', Margvelashvili G. ↓, Covi I. ↑,
81', 4 - 0, Benitez M. ⚽,
86', Alexandre M. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
90+4', Meredith B. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Sacramento Republic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spokane is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Spokane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sacramento Republic - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 53.39%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
21.04.26	Brooklyn - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
14.04.26	Sacramento Republic - Minnesota United	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
11.04.26	Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Valley 559 - Sacramento Republic	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTWW
- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
11.04.26	Spokane Velocity - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
07.04.26	Spokane Velocity - AV Alta	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Boise - Spokane Velocity	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Spokane Velocity	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
21.03.26	Spokane Velocity - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
26.07.25	Spokane Velocity - Sacramento Republic	0:1

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