The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saint-Gilloise 69.8%
Draw 19.1%
Kortrijk 11.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.8%
19.6%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.8%
18.8%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Kortrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
36.4%
0%
Saint Gilloise - Kortrijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 35.2% โ 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Moris A. (C) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. 28. Machida K. 21. Castro-Montes A. 4. Rasmussen M. 24. Vanhoutte C. 27. Sadiki N. 22. Niang O. 9. Ivanovic F. 77. Fuseini M.
31. Gunnarsson P. (G) 4. Mampassi M. 44. Silva J. (C) 26. Lagae B. 2. Alebiosu R. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 23. Takamine T. 10. Kadri A. 21. Simic R. 68. Ambrose T. 7. El Idrissy M.
Substitutes
8. Amani L. 23. Boufal S. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 19. Francois G. 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 25. Khalaili A. 48. Leysen F. 13. Rodriguez K. 26. Sykes R. 17. Terho C. 6. Van De Perre K.
17. Bruno M. 16. Dejaegere B. 24. Fujii H. 35. Huygevelde N. 30. Kaneko T. 45. Messaoudi B. 19. Nacho 95. Pirard L. (G) 27. Sissako A.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.
Alexandersson F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', El Idrissy M. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Fuseini M. ⚽,
25', Castro-Montes A. 🟨,
33', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Niang O. 🟨,
51', 2 - 0, Silva J. (Own goal),
56', Alebiosu R. ↓, Fujii H. ↑,
56', Simic R. ↓, Messaoudi B. ↑,
64', Niang O. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
64', Sadiki N. ↓, Amani L. ↑,
65', Kadri A. 🟨,
74', El Idrissy M. ↓, Kaneko T. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Ivanovic F. ⚽,
82', Ivanovic F. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
82', Takamine T. ↓, Sissako A. ↑,
85', Rasmussen M. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
85', Fuseini M. ↓, Khalaili A. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Union SG won 5.
Union SG is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Kortrijk is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Union SG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Union SG have a series of guest games.
In this match Union SG is certain favorite.
There will not play in Union SG: Kabangu E.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Union SG: Teklab H.
(Foot Injury)
Traore M.
(Knock)
There are questionable in Kortrijk: Fujii H.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Union SG won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Union SG won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-2.