The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Union Berlin 56.8%
Draw 27.7%
Saint-Gilloise 15.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.9%
24.2%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62%
23%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83%
7.4%
9.6%
Union Berlin - Saint Gilloise Predictions
Users Predictions:
Union Berlin will win
(78 of 94 users predict this - 82.98%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.38% โ 90.58%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Union Berlin was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (69%), has a chance of semis (28%), has a small chance of final (11%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Union SG was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (31%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality63, importance45, match rating54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Union Berlin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Union SG is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Union Berlin is a favorite.
There will not play in Union Berlin: Schafer A.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Union SG: Eckert Ayensa D.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Union SG: Teuma T.
(Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.