Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 28

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Saint-Gilloise		Genk

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5	Watch
	1.65	4	5
	1.7	3.7	4.9	Watch
	1.67	3.8	5.78
	1.62	3.95	5.49
	1.62	3.7	5
	1.7	4.15	4.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	3.9 ↓ (3.97)	5.16 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
57.3%

Draw
24.3%

Genk
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Saint Gilloise - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Genk will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Genk (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 50%). Genk (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 26. Sykes R. 25. Khalaili A. 6. Van De Perre K. 8. Zorgane A. 11. Guilherme Smith 23. Zeneli B. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 7. Fuseini M.	26. Lawal T. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. (C) 18. Kayembe J. 24. Sattlberger N. 38. Heymans D. 10. Ito J. 20. Karetsas K. 14. Sor Y. 29. Mirisola R.
Substitutes
9. Biondic M. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 19. Francois G. 20. Giger M. 48. Leysen F. 14. Pavlic I. 17. Schoofs R. 29. Sylla M. 21. Teunckens J. (G)	32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 21. Bangoura I. 23. Bibout A. 44. Kongolo J. 19. Medina Y. 27. Nkuba K. 34. Palacios A. 7. Steuckers J. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G)
Coaches
Hubert D.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Burgess C. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
35', Karetsas K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Zeneli B. ⚽, Guilherme Smith (A),
56', Guilherme Smith 🟨,
62', Sor Y. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
63', Ito J. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
63', Karetsas K. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
66', Burgess C. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Heymans D. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Kayembe J. 🟨,
75', Zeneli B. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
77', Fuseini M. ↓, Biondic M. ↑,
82', Kayembe J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
82', Mirisola R. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
90+2', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Pavlic I. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 4.

Union SG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Genk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Union SG is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Union SG: Barry M. T. (Ankle Injury) Niang O. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez K. (Back Injury) Scherpen K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Genk: Heynen B. (Yellow Cards) Kongolo J. (Knock)

We predict that Union SG will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Royale Union SG	7	6	1	0	21:3	18	19
6	Genk	8	3	3	2	16:12	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.03.26	Westerlo - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Saint-Gilloise - Royal Antwerp	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
11.02.26	Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi	4:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.02.26	Saint-Gilloise - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTWW
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.03.26	Genk - Gent	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Genk - Dinamo Zagreb	3:3 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.02.26	Genk - Standard Liège	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Genk	1:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.02.26	KV Mechelen - Genk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.09.25	Genk - Saint-Gilloise	1:2
03.05.25	Saint-Gilloise - Genk	1:0
20.04.25	Genk - Saint-Gilloise	1:2
15.03.25	Genk - Saint-Gilloise	2:1
10.11.24	Saint-Gilloise - Genk	4:0
26.05.24	Saint-Gilloise - Genk	2:0
01.04.24	Genk - Saint-Gilloise	1:0

Upcoming Matches