Match Info

Coupe de France - 1/64-finals

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	France 3, Free


	Saint-Malo		Bastia

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.2
	2.98	3.15	2.28
	3	3.2	2.31
	4.46	3.58	1.71	Watch
	2.97	3.41	2.28
	2.9	3.14	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (4.46)	3.3 ↓ (3.58)	2.18 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Malo
29.1%

Draw
28.2%

Bastia
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25.7%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

22.2%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Malo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Malo's performance.

Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bastia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Malo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Malo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Saint Malo - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Saint-Malo (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Malo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bastia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),

Preview

Saint-Malo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bastia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Saint-Malo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bastia could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint-Malo
French National 1 - Group A
21.11.25	La Roche VF - Saint-Malo	3:3 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.25	Sablé - Saint-Malo	0:1 penalties ✺
French National 1 - Group A
08.11.25	Saint-Malo - Stade Poitevin	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Angoulême - Saint-Malo	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Saint-Malo - Granville	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWLW
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
25.11.25	Bastia - Laval	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Annecy - Bastia	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Bastia - Reims	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Bastia - Clermont	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Nancy - Bastia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Saint-Malo - Bastia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide