Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Caen		Rodez

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.75
	2.35	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.47	3.58	2.94
	2.32	3.56	2.84	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.8
	2.33	3.64	2.87	Watch
	2.35	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.28)	3.57 ↑ (3.56)	2.82 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
40.2%

Draw
26.4%

Rodez
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.4%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

26.9%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Rodez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	50%	8.3%

Caen - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Rodez will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caen: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Clementia Y. (G) 27. Meddah D. 61. Traore B. 29. Thomas R. (C) 28. Lecoeuche Q. 10. Brahimi B. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 20. Lebreton N. 7. Gomis T. 14. Rajot L. 19. Mendy A.	16. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 11. Bouchouari M. 24. Laurent L. 2. Vandenabeele E. 4. Mambo S. 28. Abdallah A. 8. Younoussa W. 5. Cadiou N. 10. Taibi W. 18. Balde I. 9. Nkada T.
Substitutes
23. Autret M. 3. Bolumbu D. 17. Kyeremeh G. 8. Le Bihan M. 1. Mandrea A. (G) 39. Tome G. 36. Verhaeghe R.	22. Bentayeb T. 21. Chougrani J. 1. Cibois S. (G) 23. Doumbia C. 25. Galves N. 20. Jean D. 19. Mazou-Sacko D. 26. Verdier Y.
Coaches
Seube N.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Balde I. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Bouchouari M. ⚽,
45+7', 1 - 2, Thomas R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 2, Brahimi B. ⚽,
53', 2 - 3, Nkada T. ⚽,
65', Gomis T. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
65', Traore B. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
65', Lebreton N. ↓, Bolumbu D. ↑,
72', Taibi W. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
72', Younoussa W. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
78', Laurent L. 🟨,
79', Rajot L. ↓, Autret M. ↑,
85', Nkada T. ↓, Galves N. ↑,
85', Abdallah A. ↓, Jean D. ↑,
85', Mambo S. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Caen: Bagbema Z. (Injury) Coulibaly K. (Injury) Henry V. (Injury) M'Vila Y. (Injury) Ntim E. (Injury) Sy L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rodez: Lipinski R. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Caen won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.9:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
Coupe De France
16.11.24	Chartres - Caen	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
09.11.24	Metz - Caen	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Caen - Bastia	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Martigues - Caen	0:3 ✺
26.10.24	Caen - Troyes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL
- Rodez AF
Coupe De France
15.11.24	Angoulême - Rodez	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
08.11.24	Rodez - Annecy	5:1 ✺
01.11.24	Paris FC - Rodez	3:3 ✺
29.10.24	Bastia - Rodez	2:2 ✺
25.10.24	Rodez - Lorient	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.04.24	Caen - Rodez	1:0
07.10.23	Rodez - Caen	5:3
11.03.23	Rodez - Caen	3:2
22.10.22	Caen - Rodez	2:0
14.05.22	Rodez - Caen	2:0
24.07.21	Caen - Rodez	4:0
23.01.21	Caen - Rodez	1:2

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