Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Albania	K-Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	SKAI
India	GXR World
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV, Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+


	Saint-Étienne		Monaco

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.25	1.4	Watch
	6.25	5	1.44
	6.9	5.4	1.39
	6.35	5.26	1.46
	6.32	5.47	1.41	Watch
	5.5	4.75	1.44
	6.7	5.61	1.45	Watch
	6.9	5.4	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.43 ↑ (5.38)	5.27 ↑ (4.93)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
14.8%

Draw
18.1%

Monaco
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

19.3%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

18.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	20%	65%

Saint Étienne - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 6 - 15%). Monaco will win (votes: 26 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 50.2% – 79.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Monaco (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Saint-Étienne (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Monaco (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Saint-Étienne (2.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Saint-Étienne (5.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Monaco (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Monaco (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (C) 8. Appiah D. 13. Bernauer M. 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 4. Ekwah P. 29. Moueffek A. 10. Tardieu F. 7. Cardona I. 63. N'Guessan D. 22. Davitashvili Z.	16. Kohn P. (G) 4. Teze J. 17. Singo W. 13. Mawissa Elebi C. 12. Caio Henrique 88. Magassa S. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 11. Akliouche M. 18. Minamino T. 9. Balogun F. 14. Biereth M.
Substitutes
5. Abdelhamid Y. 21. Batubinsika D. 26. Fomba L. 27. Macon Y. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 14. Mouton L. 11. Old B. 9. Sissoko I. 25. Wadji I.	8. Al Musrati 7. Ben Seghir E. 27. Diatta K. 36. Embolo B. 21. Ilenikhena G. 1. Majecki R. (G) 20. Ouattara K. 22. Salisu M. 2. Vanderson
Coaches
Horneland E.	Hutter A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Akliouche M. ⚽, Caio Henrique (A),
14', Biereth M. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', N'Guessan D. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
63', Magassa S. ↓, Al Musrati ↑,
63', Teze J. ↓, Vanderson ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Tardieu F. (A),
68', 1 - 2, Al Musrati ⚽, Zakaria D. (A),
71', Moueffek A. ↓, Mouton L. ↑,
71', Cardona I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Balogun F. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
82', Embolo B. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
82', Akliouche M. ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
90', Tardieu F. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
90+1', Appiah D. ↓, Macon Y. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Monaco is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Ankle Injury) Bouchouari B. (Back Injury) Stassin L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Camara L. (Yellow Cards) Golovin A. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Appiah D. (Neck Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Kehrer T. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
26.04.25	Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne	3:1 ✺
20.04.25	Saint-Étienne - Lyon	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Saint-Étienne - Brest	3:3 ✺
09.04.25	Montpellier - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Lens - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWTWL
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
26.04.25	Le Havre - Monaco	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Monaco - Strasbourg	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Monaco - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Brest - Monaco	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Monaco - Nice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.08.24	Monaco - Saint-Étienne	1:0
23.04.22	Saint-Étienne - Monaco	1:4
22.09.21	Monaco - Saint-Étienne	3:1
19.03.21	Saint-Étienne - Monaco	0:4
23.12.20	Monaco - Saint-Étienne	2:2
Coupe De France
28.01.20	Monaco - Saint-Étienne	0:1
French Ligue 1
03.11.19	Saint-Étienne - Monaco	1:0

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