Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 4, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Italy	Ligue 1 Pass, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+


	Monaco		Nice

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.9	Watch
	1.8	4	4
	1.9	3.95	3.7
	1.92	3.95	3.96
	2.27	3.26	3.16	Watch
	1.88	4.02	4.28	Watch
	1.82	3.9	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.68)	3.83 ↓ (4.2)	3.85 ↓ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
49.9%

Draw
25.1%

Nice
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

22.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

22.1%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monaco's form might have worsened.

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	9.5%	9.5%

Monaco - Nice Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Nice (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Monaco (3.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Monaco (3.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Monaco (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (34 of 42 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.07% – 92.83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 17 - 85%). Nice (votes: 2 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kohn P. (G) 27. Diatta K. 3. Dier E. (C) 22. Salisu M. 20. Ouattara K. 4. Teze J. 28. Coulibaly M. 11. Akliouche M. 31. Fati A. 18. Minamino T. 14. Biereth M.	80. Diouf Y. (G) 26. Bard M. 64. Bombito M. 33. Mendy A. 92. Clauss J. (C) 24. Vanhoutte C. 6. Boudaoui H. 2. Abdi A. 10. Diop S. 25. Cho M. 9. Moffi T.
Substitutes
9. Balogun F. 29. Brunner P. 43. Cabral P. 12. Caio Henrique 17. Idumbo S. 19. Ilenikhena G. 5. Kiwa B. 30. Lienard Y. (G) 33. Oyatambwe M.	99. Abdul Samed S. 7. Boga J. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I. 90. Kevin 20. Louchet T. 37. Peprah K. 8. Sanson M.
Coaches
Hutter A.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
24', Abdi A. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Diop S. ⚽, Cho M. (A),
34', Abdi A. 🟨,
38', Moffi T. ↓, Peprah K. ↑,
42', 0 - 2, Diop S. (Pen),
45+5', 1 - 2, Fati A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Coulibaly M. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
51', Bombito M. 🟨,
56', Bombito M. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
56', 2 - 2, Fati A. (Pen),
69', Biereth M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
70', Ouattara K. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
70', Minamino T. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
71', Salisu M. 🟨,
71', Boudaoui H. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
72', Cho M. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
72', Diop S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.

In recent matches, Monaco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nice's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Monaco is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Monaco: Golovin A. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Kehrer T. (Red Card) Mawissa C. (Muscle Injury) Michal L. (International duty) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Vanderson (Injury) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bernardeau G. (Inactive) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Bamba A. (Hamstring Injury) Camara L. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Monaco - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
27.09.25	Lorient - Monaco	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Monaco - Metz	5:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Club Brugge - Monaco	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.09.25	Auxerre - Monaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWLW
- OGC Nice
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Nice	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Nice - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Nice - Roma	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Brest - Nice	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Nice - Nantes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
29.03.25	Monaco - Nice	2:1
27.10.24	Nice - Monaco	2:1
11.02.24	Nice - Monaco	2:3
22.09.23	Monaco - Nice	0:1
26.02.23	Monaco - Nice	0:3
04.09.22	Nice - Monaco	0:1
20.04.22	Monaco - Nice	1:0

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