Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, TV5
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 2
Mexico	Caliente TV
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports, DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, DAZN USA, TV5 Monde
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Saint-Étienne		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.93
	3.55	3.7	1.98	Watch
	3.85	3.77	1.98
	3.72	3.8	1.99	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.95
	3.92	3.85	2	Watch
	3.55	3.7	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.28)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	1.97 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TV5MONDE

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
25.8%

Draw
25.6%

Strasbourg
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

26.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.1%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	11.1%	68.9%

Saint Étienne - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 8 - 18.2%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 31 - 70.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 57% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (C) 27. Macon Y. 21. Batubinsika D. 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 4. Ekwah P. 20. Boakye A. 6. Bouchouari B. 14. Mouton L. 22. Davitashvili Z. 32. Stassin L.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 22. Doue G. 4. Sow S. 23. Sarr M. 26. Bakwa D. 29. Doukoure I. 8. Andrey Santos 7. Moreira D. 14. Mara S. 19. Diarra H. (C) 15. Nanasi S.
Substitutes
5. Abdelhamid Y. 37. Amougou M. 8. Appiah D. 18. Cafaro M. 26. Fomba L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 28. Miladinovic I. 29. Moueffek A. 9. Sissoko I.	17. Diongue D. 30. Johnsson K. (G) 6. Lemarechal F. 11. Lukovic M. 18. Mwanga J. 33. Ouattara A. 77. Sobol E. 5. Sylla A. 12. Wiley C.
Coaches
Dall'Oglio O.	Rosenior L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Sarr M. 🟨,
40', Petrot L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Mouton L. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Nade M. ⚽, Stassin L. (A),
56', Boakye A. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
56', Stassin L. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
62', Macon Y. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
66', Sarr M. ↓, Lemarechal F. ↑,
72', Mouton L. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Sissoko I. ⚽,
80', Nanasi S. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
80', Bakwa D. ↓, Lukovic M. ↑,
90+1', Moreira D. ↓, Wiley C. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 1.

Saint-Étienne is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Strasbourg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Strasbourg will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Briancon A. (Knee Injury) Monconduit T. (Thigh Injury) Old B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Ankle Injury) Lukovic M. (Injury) Senaya M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Cornud P. (Muscle Injury) Macon Y. (Knee Injury) Wadji I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Bellaarouch A. (Groin Injury) Delaine T. (Knee Injury) Dion M. S. (Knee Injury) Wiley C. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
26.10.24	Angers - Saint-Étienne	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Saint-Étienne - Lens	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Saint-Étienne - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Nantes - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
20.09.24	Nice - Saint-Étienne	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWTL
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
27.10.24	Strasbourg - Nantes	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	4:2 ✺
06.10.24	Strasbourg - Lens	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Lille - Strasbourg	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
20.02.22	Saint-Étienne - Strasbourg	2:2
17.10.21	Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne	5:1
17.01.21	Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne	1:0
12.09.20	Saint-Étienne - Strasbourg	2:0
21.12.19	Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne	2:1
13.02.19	Saint-Étienne - Strasbourg	2:1
19.08.18	Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne	1:1

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