Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, TV5
China	04:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 2
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	01:30	GXR World
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	02:00	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 2
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV
Philippines	04:00	Cignal Play
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	beIN Sports, DAZN Espana
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	20:00	DAZN 1 UK, Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, DAZN USA, TV5 Monde
International	20:00	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Saint-Étienne		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.93
	3.55	3.7	1.98	Watch
	3.85	3.77	1.98
	3.72	3.8	1.99	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.95
	3.92	3.85	2	Watch
	3.55	3.7	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.28)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	1.97 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TV5MONDE

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
25.8%

Draw
25.6%

Strasbourg
48.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

26.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.1%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	11.1%	68.9%

Saint Étienne - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 8 - 18.2%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 31 - 70.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 57% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (C) 27. Macon Y. 21. Batubinsika D. 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 4. Ekwah P. 20. Boakye A. 6. Bouchouari B. 14. Mouton L. 22. Davitashvili Z. 32. Stassin L.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 22. Doue G. 4. Sow S. 23. Sarr M. 26. Bakwa D. 29. Doukoure I. 8. Andrey Santos 7. Moreira D. 14. Mara S. 19. Diarra H. (C) 15. Nanasi S.
Substitutes
5. Abdelhamid Y. 37. Amougou M. 8. Appiah D. 18. Cafaro M. 26. Fomba L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 28. Miladinovic I. 29. Moueffek A. 9. Sissoko I.	17. Diongue D. 30. Johnsson K. (G) 6. Lemarechal F. 11. Lukovic M. 18. Mwanga J. 33. Ouattara A. 77. Sobol E. 5. Sylla A. 12. Wiley C.
Coaches
Dall'Oglio O.	Rosenior L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Sarr M. 🟨,
40', Petrot L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Mouton L. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Nade M. ⚽, Stassin L. (A),
56', Boakye A. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
56', Stassin L. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
62', Macon Y. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
66', Sarr M. ↓, Lemarechal F. ↑,
72', Mouton L. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Sissoko I. ⚽,
80', Nanasi S. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
80', Bakwa D. ↓, Lukovic M. ↑,
90+1', Moreira D. ↓, Wiley C. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 1.

Saint-Étienne is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Strasbourg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Strasbourg will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Briancon A. (Knee Injury) Monconduit T. (Thigh Injury) Old B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Ankle Injury) Lukovic M. (Injury) Senaya M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Cornud P. (Muscle Injury) Macon Y. (Knee Injury) Wadji I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Bellaarouch A. (Groin Injury) Delaine T. (Knee Injury) Dion M. S. (Knee Injury) Wiley C. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
26.10.24	Angers - Saint-Étienne	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Saint-Étienne - Lens	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Saint-Étienne - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Nantes - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
20.09.24	Nice - Saint-Étienne	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWTL
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
27.10.24	Strasbourg - Nantes	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	4:2 ✺
06.10.24	Strasbourg - Lens	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Lille - Strasbourg	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
20.02.22	Saint-Étienne - Strasbourg	2:2
17.10.21	Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne	5:1
17.01.21	Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne	1:0
12.09.20	Saint-Étienne - Strasbourg	2:0
21.12.19	Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne	2:1
13.02.19	Saint-Étienne - Strasbourg	2:1
19.08.18	Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne	1:1

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