Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Salamanca		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.15	3.20	2.90
	2.12	3.2	2.95
	2.13	3.35	3.26
	2.2	3.31	3.02	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.14	3.44	3.23
	2.12	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.09)	3.29 ↑ (3.18)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salamanca
42.8%

Draw
27.7%

Alcalá
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Salamanca - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Vicandi A. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Levrand M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Recently, Alcalá has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Salamanca holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Salamanca has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2 (averaging 0:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Salamanca against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Salamanca	5	3	0	2	7:5	2	9
10	RSD Alcala	5	2	0	3	10:10	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

Salamanca - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 42.87%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.09.26	Conquense - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
16.09.26	Derio - Salamanca	3:5 AET ✺
09.09.26	Salamanca - Caudal Deportivo	3:2 AET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.09.26	CD Guadalajara - Salamanca	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Salamanca - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.09.26	Alcalá - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:2 ✺
13.09.26	CD Guadalajara - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Alcalá - Talavera de la Reina	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Alcalá - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Alcalá - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.08.25	Alcalá - Salamanca	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.03.13	Salamanca - Alcalá	0:0

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