Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Salamanca		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.25
	1.6	3.55	4.8
	1.58	3.6	5
	1.6	3.88	5.77
	1.6	3.5	5.5
	1.59	3.76	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	3.65 ↑ (3.41)	5.11 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salamanca
57%

Draw
25.1%

Covadonga
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

17.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salamanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covadonga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salamanca - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Salamanca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Covadonga is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Salamanca is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.04.21	Real Oviedo B - Salamanca	0:0 ✺
04.04.21	Salamanca - Lealtad	1:1 ✺
28.03.21	Compostela - Salamanca	1:1 ✺
14.03.21	Salamanca - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
07.03.21	Salamanca - Zamora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTTWT
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.04.21	Covadonga - Guijuelo	3:3 ✺
04.04.21	Pontevedra - Covadonga	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	Numancia - Covadonga	5:0 ✺
14.03.21	Covadonga - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Marino de Luanco - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLWL

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