Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday


	Numancia		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.6	6.5
	1.4	4	7.5
	1.38	4	7.4
	1.4	4.45	8.7
	1.47	3.9	6.5
	1.45	4.3	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.6)	4.04 ↑ (3.27)	7.18 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
64.5%

Draw
22.7%

Covadonga
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

27.7%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

16.9%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-30.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covadonga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Numancia - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Second stage) and 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Relegation Group)).

Covadonga is Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Relegation Group)

Recent matches Numancia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Covadonga is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Numancia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.03.21	Langreo - Numancia	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Numancia - Burgos	0:1 ✺
03.03.21	Numancia - Real Oviedo B	4:1 ✺
27.02.21	Lealtad - Numancia	1:1 ✺
24.02.21	Numancia - Leonesa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWTL
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.03.21	Covadonga - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Marino de Luanco - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
21.02.21	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	3:3 ✺
14.02.21	Covadonga - Langreo	0:1 ✺
10.02.21	Real Oviedo B - Covadonga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.02.21	Covadonga - Numancia	0:3

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