Match Info

Date: 23 February 2020, Sunday


	Salernitana		Livorno

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.87	3.2	4.75
	1.85	3.25	4.6	Watch
	1.85	3.21	3.86
	1.96	3.32	4.43
	1.85	3.25	4.5
	1.93	3.08	4.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)	3.23 ↑ (3.17)	4.48 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
50%

Draw
29.1%

Livorno
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

29.6%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

23.1%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salernitana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Livorno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76%	12%	12%

Salernitana - Livorno Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Livorno will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
17.02.20	Chievo - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
10.02.20	Salernitana - Trapani	1:0 ✺
02.02.20	Benevento - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
25.01.20	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
19.01.20	Pescara - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWTWW
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie B
15.02.20	Livorno - Nuova Cosenza	0:3 ✺
08.02.20	Pordenone - Livorno	2:2 ✺
01.02.20	Livorno - Ascoli	0:3 ✺
27.01.20	Perugia - Livorno	1:0 ✺
18.01.20	Livorno - Virtus Entella	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.09.19	Livorno - Salernitana	2:3
16.03.19	Livorno - Salernitana	1:0
31.10.18	Salernitana - Livorno	3:1
24.04.16	Salernitana - Livorno	3:1
09.12.15	Livorno - Salernitana	0:0

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