Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 26

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Carrarese		Salernitana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.8	3.1
				Watch
	2.66	2.89	3.32
				Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.9
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.43)	2.93 ↓ (3.05)	3.11 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carrarese
37.1%

Draw
32.4%

Salernitana
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

29.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	58.8%	29.4%

Carrarese - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Salernitana will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Fiorillo V. (G) 6. Oliana F. 34. Guarino G. 3. Imperiale M. 72. Zanon S. 17. Zuelli E. 18. Schiavi N. 11. Cicconi M. 9. Cherubini L. 32. Finotto M. 90. Cerri L.	53. Christensen O. (G) 15. Bronn D. 33. Ferrari G. M. 47. Lochoshvili L. 30. Stojanovic P. 18. Caligara F. 73. Amatucci L. 7. Tongya F. 17. Njoh L. 99. Raimondo A. 90. Cerri A.
Substitutes
77. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 82. Capezzi L. 16. Cavion M. 47. Fontanarosa A. 20. Giovane S. 4. Illanes J. 28. Manzari G. 5. Melegoni F. 10. Milanese T. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 92. Torregrossa E.	16. Corazza T. 29. Ghiglione P. 72. Girelli S. 27. Guasone J. 8. Hrustic A. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 13. Ruggeri F. 55. Sepe L. (G) 9. Simy 21. Soriano R. 31. Verde D. 98. Zuccon F.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Breda R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', Njoh L. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Zanon S. ⚽,
37', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Finotto M. ⚽, Schiavi N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Caligara F. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
46', Stojanovic P. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Zuelli E. ⚽, Cicconi M. (A),
55', Cerri L. 🟨,
57', Cerri L. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
57', Tongya F. ↓, Reine-Adelaide J. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Reine-Adelaide J. ⚽, Bronn D. (A),
70', Raimondo A. ↓, Simy ↑,
73', Zuelli E. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
74', Finotto M. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
74', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
85', Amatucci L. ↓, Soriano R. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Soriano R. ⚽,
88', Cherubini L. ↓, Capezzi L. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Carrarese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Salernitana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carrarese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Carrarese: Bleve M. (Knock) Coppolaro M. (Knee Injury) Shpendi S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Salernitana: Reine-Adelaide J. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Salernitana to win the game is with odds 3.07.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Last Results with these Odds

Carrarese - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.2%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
08.02.25	Nuova Cosenza - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Carrarese - Brescia	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Juve Stabia - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Carrarese - Spezia	0:4 ✺
13.01.25	Pisa - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
07.02.25	Brescia - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Salernitana - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Pisa - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Salernitana - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Salernitana - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.12.24	Salernitana - Carrarese	4:1

Upcoming Matches