Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Salernitana		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.25
	2.35	2.95	3.3	Watch
	2.36	2.99	3.43	Watch
	2.2	3	3.5
	2.34	3.08	3.34	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.26)	2.97 ↓ (3.24)	3.37 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
40.4%

Draw
31.7%

Reggiana
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

30.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Salernitana - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Reggiana will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Sepe L. (C) 13. Ruggeri F. 33. Ferrari G. M. 47. Lochoshvili L. 7. Tongya F. 30. Stojanovic P. 73. Amatucci L. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 17. Njoh L. 99. Raimondo A. 90. Cerri A.	22. Bardi F. (C) 31. Sampirisi M. 13. Meroni A. 15. Fiamozzi R. 17. Libutti L. 30. Vergara A. 16. Reinhart T. 90. Portanova M. 5. Sersanti A. 25. Ignacchiti L. 11. Gondo C.
Substitutes
24. Braaf J. 15. Bronn D. 18. Caligara F. 16. Corazza T. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 29. Ghiglione P. 72. Girelli S. 27. Guasone J. 44. Jaroszynski P. 25. Maggiore G. 21. Soriano R. 31. Verde D.	8. Cigarini L. 24. Fontanarosa A. 77. Kabashi E. 55. Kumi J. 27. Maggio M. 7. Marras M. 87. Nahounou Y. 23. Pettinari S. 3. Sosa J. 99. Sposito A. (G) 6. Stulac L. 10. Vido L.
Coaches
Breda R.	Viali W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Reinhart T. 🟨,
39', Cerri A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gondo C. ↓, Vido L. ↑,
50', Ignacchiti L. 🟥,
54', Tongya F. 🟨,
60', Portanova M. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Vido L. ⚽,
64', Raimondo A. ↓, Braaf J. ↑,
64', Reine-Adelaide J. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
68', Tongya F. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
73', Portanova M. ↓, Kumi J. ↑,
73', Vergara A. ↓, Marras M. ↑,
73', Lochoshvili L. ↓, Bronn D. ↑,
75', Kumi J. 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Bronn D. ⚽, Verde D. (A),
79', Fiamozzi R. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
80', Bardi F. 🟨,
83', Caligara F. 🟨,
90', Reinhart T. ↓, Kabashi E. ↑,
90+10', 2 - 1, Cerri A. (Pen),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Salernitana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Reggiana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salernitana will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Salernitana: Tello A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Reggiana: Lucchesi L. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Rozzio P. (Ankle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
12.01.25	Salernitana - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Catanzaro - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Frosinone - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
20.12.24	Salernitana - Brescia	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Salernitana - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
12.01.25	Reggiana - Bari	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Mantova - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Reggiana - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Cittadella - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Reggiana - Modena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Reggiana - Salernitana	0:0
26.02.21	Reggiana - Salernitana	0:0

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