Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)

Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Mantova		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.15	3.15
	2.48	3.18	3.22
	2.26	3.22	3.21	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.8
	2.29	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.01)	3.17 ↓ (3.24)	3.17 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
40.8%

Draw
29.6%

Reggiana
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.8%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mantova's form might have worsened.

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mantova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reggiana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

Mantova - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Reggiana will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 8% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mantova (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 96. Maggioni T. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 20. Fedel G. 21. Trimboli S. (C) 8. Artioli F. 10. Wieser D. 14. Galuppini F. 99. Bonfanti N. 19. Ruocco F.	1. Motta E. (G) 2. Papetti A. 96. Magnani G. 14. Quaranta D. 7. Marras M. 8. Charlys 16. Reinhart T. 3. Bozzolan A. 90. Portanova M. (C) 80. Girma N. 11. Gondo C.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 16. Botti F. (G) 28. Caprini M. 18. Falletti C. 11. Fiori A. 37. Majer Z. 23. Marras T. 7. Mensah D. 4. Mullen S. 36. Paoletti F. 53. Pittino T.	26. Bertagnoli M. 43. Bonetti S. 93. Lambourde M. 17. Libutti L. 44. Mendicino L. 9. Novakovich A. 23. Rover M. 4. Rozzio P. 12. Seculin A. (G) 5. Stulac L. 10. Tavsan E. 6. Vallarelli F.
Coaches
Possanzini D.	Dionigi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Bozzolan A. 🟨,
40', Cella S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Girma N. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Reinhart T. ⚽, Marras M. (A),
57', Wieser D. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
57', Galuppini F. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
60', Reinhart T. 🟨,
61', Marras M. ↓, Libutti L. ↑,
71', Artioli F. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
71', Ruocco F. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
75', Bonfanti N. 🟨,
76', Gondo C. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
76', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
82', Bozzolan A. ↓, Bonetti S. ↑,
82', Reinhart T. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
83', Bonetti S. 🟨,
89', Charlys 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mantova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mantova: Bani C. (Yellow Cards) Bragantini D. (Inactive) Mancuso L. (Muscle Injury) Mantovani V. (Calf Injury) Radaelli N. (Red Card)

There will not play in Reggiana: Basili D. (Inactive) Sampirisi M. (Knee Injury) Saro G. (Inactive) Tripaldelli A. (Inactive) Urso O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Girma N. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Venezia - Mantova	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Mantova - Spezia	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Mantova - Padova	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sampdoria - Mantova	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Mantova - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWWL
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Reggiana - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Carrarese - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Reggiana - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Avellino - Reggiana	4:3 ✺
28.10.25	Reggiana - Modena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.12.24	Mantova - Reggiana	0:2
18.08.24	Reggiana - Mantova	2:2
Italian Serie C Group B
19.03.17	Reggiana - Mantova	0:0
29.10.16	Mantova - Reggiana	2:3
Italian Serie C Group A
13.02.16	Reggiana - Mantova	1:1
03.10.15	Mantova - Reggiana	0:2

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