Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 21

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol


	Salernitana		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4	3.5	1.85
	4	3.6	1.85	Watch
	4.05	3.7	1.85	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.85
	3.95	3.72	1.89	Watch
	4	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.77)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)	1.86 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
23.4%

Draw
26.1%

Sassuolo
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.9%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

24.8%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	17.6%	70.6%

Salernitana - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Sepe L. (G) 13. Ruggeri F. 33. Ferrari G. M. 47. Lochoshvili L. 29. Ghiglione P. 25. Maggiore G. 73. Amatucci L. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 17. Njoh L. 99. Raimondo A. 90. Cerri A.	31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 26. Odenthal C. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 8. Ghion A. 11. Boloca D. 10. Berardi D. 42. Thorstvedt K. 45. Lauriente A. 91. Russo F.
Substitutes
15. Bronn D. 16. Corazza T. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 72. Girelli S. 21. Soriano R. 30. Stojanovic P. 70. Tello A. 7. Tongya F. 10. Torregrossa E. 4. Velthuis T. 31. Verde D. 20. Wlodarczyk S.	28. Antiste J. 25. D'Andrea L. 40. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 20. Lovato M. 24. Moro L. 9. Mulattieri S. 14. Obiang P. 17. Paz Y. 15. Pieragnolo E. 77. Pierini N. 12. Satalino G. (G)
Coaches
Breda R.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Russo F. ⚽, Thorstvedt K. (A),
22', Amatucci L. 🟨,
30', Ghiglione P. 🟨,
30', Russo F. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Muharemovic T. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ghiglione P. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Cerri A. ⚽,
58', Russo F. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
62', Raimondo A. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
62', Maggiore G. ↓, Soriano R. ↑,
71', Reine-Adelaide J. ↓, Girelli S. ↑,
75', Ghion A. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
75', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
75', Boloca D. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
81', Cerri A. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
90+1', Ferrari G. M. 🟨,
90+2', Berardi D. ↓, Lovato M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1.

Salernitana is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sassuolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:16 (average 1.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
29.12.24	Catanzaro - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Frosinone - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
20.12.24	Salernitana - Brescia	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Salernitana - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Modena - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLT
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
29.12.24	Sassuolo - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Pisa - Sassuolo	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Sassuolo - Palermo	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Frosinone - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.11.24	Sassuolo - Salernitana	4:0
Italian Serie A
05.04.24	Salernitana - Sassuolo	2:2
10.11.23	Sassuolo - Salernitana	2:2
22.04.23	Salernitana - Sassuolo	3:0
02.10.22	Sassuolo - Salernitana	5:0
12.03.22	Salernitana - Sassuolo	2:2
26.09.21	Sassuolo - Salernitana	1:0

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