Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Salernitana		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.4
	2.35	2.95	3.3	Watch
	2.38	2.95	3.64
	2.28	3.01	3.59	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.3	3.1	3.41	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.29)	3 ↓ (3.24)	3.42 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
41.1%

Draw
31.4%

Juve Stabia
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

29.1%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	46.2%	38.5%

Salernitana - Juve Stabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Sepe L. (C) 15. Bronn D. 33. Ferrari G. M. 44. Jaroszynski P. 29. Ghiglione P. 25. Maggiore G. 73. Amatucci L. 21. Soriano R. 30. Stojanovic P. 31. Verde D. 9. Simy	20. Thiam D. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 24. Varnier M. 6. Bellich M. 15. Floriani R. 8. Buglio D. (C) 55. Leone G. 29. Fortini N. 10. Pierobon C. 27. Candellone L. 9. Adorante A.
Substitutes
24. Braaf J. 12. Corriere F. (G) 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 43. Fusco G. 2. Gentile D. 8. Hrustic A. 11. Kallon Y. 13. Ruggeri F. 77. Sfait A. 7. Tongya F. 4. Velthuis T. 20. Wlodarczyk S.	90. Artistico G. 13. Baldi M. 5. Di Marco T. 25. Gerbo A. 1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Meli M. 99. Piovanello E. 11. Piscopo K. 3. Rocchetti Y. 16. Signorini A. (G) 7. Zuccon F.
Coaches
Colantuono S.	Pagliuca G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Adorante A. ⚽,
18', Adorante A. 🟨,
38', Bronn D. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Amatucci L. ⚽, Simy (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Maggiore G. ↓, Hrustic A. ↑,
66', Buglio D. 🟨,
71', Fortini N. ↓, Rocchetti Y. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Candellone L. ⚽,
75', Simy ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
75', Soriano R. ↓, Tongya F. ↑,
84', Buglio D. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
84', Adorante A. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
84', Jaroszynski P. ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
84', Stojanovic P. ↓, Velthuis T. ↑,
90+1', Candellone L. ↓, Piscopo K. ↑,
90+2', Leone G. ↓, Baldi M. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Salernitana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Salernitana will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Salernitana: Reine-Adelaide J. (Injury) Sfait A. (Injury) Tello A. (Injury)

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Folino F. (Yellow Cards) Maistro F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Tongya F. (Ankle Injury) Torregrossa E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Andreoni C. (Injury) Morachioli G. (Injury) Mosti N. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
07.12.24	Modena - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Salernitana - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
23.11.24	Sassuolo - Salernitana	4:0 ✺
10.11.24	Salernitana - Bari	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLLT
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
06.12.24	Juve Stabia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Cittadella - Juve Stabia	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Juve Stabia - Brescia	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Juve Stabia - Spezia	0:3 ✺
02.11.24	Carrarese - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.07.20	Salernitana - Juve Stabia	2:1
23.11.19	Juve Stabia - Salernitana	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
18.04.15	Juve Stabia - Salernitana	1:0
07.12.14	Salernitana - Juve Stabia	3:2

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