Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 18

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol


	Salernitana		Brescia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.3
				Watch
	2.24	3.27	3.56
	2.21	3.22	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.2	3.3	3.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.15)	3.23 ↓ (3.32)	3.41 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
43.1%

Draw
29.2%

Brescia
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Brescia aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Salernitana - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Sepe L. (G) 13. Ruggeri F. 33. Ferrari G. M. 4. Velthuis T. 29. Ghiglione P. 21. Soriano R. 73. Amatucci L. 7. Tongya F. 30. Stojanovic P. 24. Braaf J. 9. Simy	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 32. Papetti A. 28. Adorni D. 15. Cistana A. 24. Dickmann L. 25. Bisoli D. 23. Galazzi N. 6. Verreth M. 19. Corrado N. 11. Moncini G. 29. Borrelli G.
Substitutes
12. Corriere F. (G) 23. Dalmonte N. 45. Di Vico R. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 43. Fusco G. 2. Gentile D. 8. Hrustic A. 44. Jaroszynski P. 11. Kallon Y. 17. Njoh L. 77. Sfait A. 20. Wlodarczyk S.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 39. Besaggio M. 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 5. Calvani G. 33. Muca Z. 20. Nuamah P. 27. Olzer G. 4. Paghera F.
Coaches
Colantuono S.	Bisoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Moncini G. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
56', Verreth M. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
60', Bianchi F. 🟨,
65', Stojanovic P. ↓, Jaroszynski P. ↑,
65', Tongya F. ↓, Hrustic A. ↑,
72', Braaf J. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
73', Borrelli G. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
83', Ghiglione P. ↓, Gentile D. ↑,
83', Simy ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
84', Ruggeri F. 🟨,
86', Corrado N. ↓, Calvani G. ↑,
86', Galazzi N. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Salernitana will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.5:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:5 (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
15.12.24	Salernitana - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Modena - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Salernitana - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
23.11.24	Sassuolo - Salernitana	4:0 ✺
10.11.24	Salernitana - Bari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLL
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
15.12.24	Brescia - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Catanzaro - Brescia	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Brescia - Bari	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Juve Stabia - Brescia	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.03.21	Salernitana - Brescia	1:0
12.12.20	Brescia - Salernitana	3:1
22.04.19	Brescia - Salernitana	3:0
10.12.18	Salernitana - Brescia	1:3
28.04.18	Salernitana - Brescia	4:2
02.12.17	Brescia - Salernitana	2:0
11.03.17	Salernitana - Brescia	2:0

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