The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barrow 46.2%
Draw 28.1%
Accrington Stanley 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
28.7%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
27.6%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barrow's performance.
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Accrington Stanley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barrow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Accrington Stanley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
0%
71.4%
Barrow - Accrington Stanley Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Accrington will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
1. Stanway W. (G) 7. Jackson B. 2. MacDonald A. 6. Canavan N. (C) 3. Shipley L. 21. Earing J. 45. Harper R. 14. McCann C. 10. Walker T. 25. Gordon J. 33. Rose D.
13. Wright O. (G) 17. Matthews D. 5. Rawson F. 3. Sass F. 39. Woods J. 24. Butterfield L. 4. Grant C. 20. Brown C. 8. Madden P. 7. Whalley S. (C) 27. Abimbola D.
Substitutes
20. Fletcher I. 16. Foley S. 11. Newby E. 28. Powell B. 26. Thompson J. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)
28. Conneely S. 26. Hall C. 1. Kelly M. (G) 22. Martin D. 19. Popoola A. 25. Smith J. 31. Tunstall F.
Coaches
Maamria D.
Doolan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Shipley L. 🟨,
31', McCann C. 🟨,
40', Butterfield L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Abimbola D. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
66', Rose D. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
72', Woods J. 🟨,
78', Butterfield L. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
86', Walker T. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
90+3', Martin D. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1.
Barrow has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Accrington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Barrow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Barrow: Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Raglan C.
(Inactive)
Smith S.
(Inactive)
Whitfield B.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Accrington: Coyle L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Barrow: Malcolm J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Accrington: Mooney K.
(Inactive)
Sinclair I.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Accrington: 0.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Accrington
10
2
5
3
13:14
-1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Barrow - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.61%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.