Match Info

League Two - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Grimsby Town		Salford City

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.28	3.35	2.98	Watch
	2.35	3.39	3.23
	2.29	3.23	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	2.31	3.22	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.3)	3.27 ↑ (3.24)	3.11 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
41.4%

Draw
28.6%

Salford City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Grimsby Town - Salford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Salford will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Salford (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Salford (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Smith J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 16. Staunton R. 15. Turi G. D. 14. Amaluzor J. 29. Oduor C. 9. Kabia J. 4. Green K. (C) 39. Cook A.	1. Young M. (G) 19. Mnoga H. 22. Oluwo A. 15. Cooper B. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 21. Cesay K. 17. Austerfield J. 18. Butcher M. 10. N'Mai K. 26. Graydon R. 23. Udoh D.
Substitutes
18. Burns D. 1. Pym C. (G) 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 3. Sweeney J. 30. Vernam C. 7. Walker J. 21. Warren T.	16. Borini F. 24. Dorrington A. 33. Howard M. (G) 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 9. Stockton C. 6. Turton O. 7. Woodburn B.
Coaches
Artell D.	Robinson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Staunton R. ⚽,
4', 1 - 1, Cesay K. ⚽,
19', Garbutt L. 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Oluwo A. ⚽, Garbutt L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Austerfield J. 🟨,
58', Turi G. D. 🟨,
63', Butcher M. 🟨,
67', N'Mai K. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
68', Kabia J. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
68', Amaluzor J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
72', Austerfield J. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
79', Oduor C. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
88', Udoh D. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
89', Graydon R. ↓, Borini F. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4.

Grimsby is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Salford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Grimsby has had a series of away games.

Grimsby will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Khouri E. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Injury)

There will not play in Salford: Bird J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Edwards T. (Inactive) Rose M. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Grimsby: McEachran G. (Inactive) Sellars-Fleming T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive) Awe Z. (Inactive) Woodburn B. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Salford: 19.35% Grimsby: 4.36%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Salford	10	6	1	3	15:10	5	19
11	Grimsby	10	3	4	3	13:11	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Salford City - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.85%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
02.05.26	Tranmere Rovers - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Grimsby Town - Swindon Town	4:0 ✺
21.04.26	Cambridge United - Grimsby Town	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Gillingham - Grimsby Town	1:4 ✺
14.04.26	Chesterfield - Grimsby Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWL
- Salford City
English League Two
02.05.26	Crawley Town - Salford City	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Salford City - Bromley	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Oldham Athletic - Salford City	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Salford City - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Crewe Alexandra - Salford City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.03.26	Grimsby Town - Salford City	3:1
04.10.25	Salford City - Grimsby Town	0:2
15.03.25	Grimsby Town - Salford City	0:1
12.10.24	Salford City - Grimsby Town	1:2
29.12.23	Salford City - Grimsby Town	0:3
15.08.23	Grimsby Town - Salford City	2:0
29.12.22	Grimsby Town - Salford City	1:4

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