Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 2

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere


	Sampaio Corrêa		América RN

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.35	3.2	2.8
	2.4	3.24	2.87
	2.35	3.2	2.86
	2.4	3	2.88
	2.37	3.1	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.07)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	2.89 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
39%

Draw
29.3%

América RN
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Sampaio Corrêa - América RN Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. América RN will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Rhuan (G) 7. Adriano 9. Alan James 10. Alan Stence 5. Cavi 3. Eduardo 4. Fabio Aguiar (C) 8. Isaias 2. Jo 11. Pimentinha 6. Thiago Rosa	1. Renan Braganca (G) 30. Davi Gabriel 33. Ferreira (C) 4. Guilherme Paraiba 37. Italo 22. Lucas Rodrigues 7. Luidy 28. Marquinhos 2. Ricardo Luz 21. Roldan 26. Thailor
Substitutes
1. Alan (G) 15. Bacurau 18. Bruno Matos 16. Dodo 21. Elivelton 13. Felipe Caua 20. Jair 23. Jardson 19. Joao Lenger 14. Ray 22. Rodolfo 17. Wendell	6. Antonio 5. Gabriel Araujo 13. Gabriel Bernard (G) 27. Hebert 19. Henrique 36. Iran 45. Lucao (G) 16. Mateus Jatoba 23. Nathan Lourenco 10. Thiaguinho 17. Wendel Barros

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Alan James ⚽,
14', Italo 🟨,
22', Rhuan 🟨,
24', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Luidy ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Thailor ↓, Antonio ↑,
46', 1 - 2, Luidy ⚽,
51', Ricardo Luz 🟨,
54', 2 - 2, Cavi ⚽,
60', Ferreira 🟨,
65', Antonio 🟨,
66', Marquinhos ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
67', Luidy ↓, Hebert ↑,
67', Adriano ↓, Wendell ↑,
72', Roldan ↓, Nathan Lourenco ↑,
72', Italo ↓, Gabriel Araujo ↑,
80', 🟨,
88', 🟥,
88', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América RN is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

América RN could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sampaio Corrêa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
01.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Pinheiro	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.01.25	Bahia - Sampaio Corrêa	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
15.01.25	IAPE - Sampaio Corrêa	0:3 ✺
11.01.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLWT
- América RN
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
01.02.25	Potiguar - América RN	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	América RN - Força e Luz	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	ABC - América RN	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.01.25	América RN - Juazeirense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
18.01.25	América RN - Laguna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.10.14	América RN - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2
03.06.14	Sampaio Corrêa - América RN	3:0

Sampaio Corrêa - América RN: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide